Sabine Hossenfelder - 2024-01-27
Want to restore the planet's ecosystems and see your impact in monthly videos? The first 200 people to join Planet Wild with my code will get the first month for free at https://www.planetwild.com/sabinehossenfelder/turtles If you want to get to know them better first, check out their latest video: How 3 Dogs Saved 100,000 Turtles https://www.planetwild.com/sabinehossenfelder/11 In this video I explain what climate sensitivity is and why it is important. Climate sensitivity is a number that roughly speaking tells us how fast climate change will get worse. A few years ago, after various software improvements, a bunch of climate models began having a much higher climate sensitivity than previously. Climate scientists have come up with reasons for why to ignore this. I think it's a bad idea to ignore this. The quiz for this video is here: https://quizwithit.com/start_thequiz/1706049873020x576568516218191900 🤓 Check out our new quiz app ➜ http://quizwithit.com/ 💌 Support us on Donatebox ➜ https://donorbox.org/swtg 📝 Transcripts and written news on Substack ➜ https://sciencewtg.substack.com/ 👉 Transcript with links to references on Patreon ➜ https://www.patreon.com/Sabine 📩 Free weekly science newsletter ➜ https://sabinehossenfelder.com/newsletter/ 👂 Audio only podcast ➜ https://open.spotify.com/show/0MkNfXlKnMPEUMEeKQYmYC 🔗 Join this channel to get access to perks ➜ https://www.youtube.com/channel/UC1yNl2E66ZzKApQdRuTQ4tw/join 🖼️ On instagram ➜ https://www.instagram.com/sciencewtg/ #science #climate
They aren’t disliking it because the topic. They’re doing it because politics have made climate change red team versus blue team and sides have been chosen. And the extreme ends are where the two teams live on every topic.
Mostly in the USA where a large part of the people seem to have gone mad or stupid.
@@jimmyquigley7561I wouldn't say most. But the politics of my country have gone completely mad. You can't even speak solutions without it being called devisive
Also Sabine politics and views and climate change have been trash in the past years
I’m more so surprised that those types of people watch this video in the first place
@@OlmanWillo You are definitely not unique, that's for sure. But you are very visible regarding partisan politics. Quite bizarre.
I'm from central South Africa and over the course of the last 10 years we haven't been able to trust expected weather patterns. We're used to wet summers in the 30-35 (Celsius) range and it's been going into drought temperatures (40-45) with little to no rain for a long period and a sudden flood-causing burst every season. Our national average temp has also increased twice as fast as the global temperatures since the early 90's so the impact of this is a very tangible non-debatable issue here, especially in the agricultural sector.
Yes, it would hit your region faster and harder than certain other parts of the world. I live in Cleveland Ohio (USA) and our change is milder. This does allow for more people in my region to remain ignorant and blind to the science.
thx for sharing first hand facts
@@user-qv6sn9xy9k Some parts of the US are very affected. Just think of the year-long drought and all the wildfires in California.
Maybe this is caused by the increased solar activity of the sun. We are near the end of an 11-year solar cycle. But nobody wants to say this as there's no money in it.
I'm from the Northern part of South Africa (pretoria)
I can honestly say that our weather patterns have not changed noticeably in the past 30 years (which is how far back I can remember)
I waited until the "Stop watching if you have anxiety" warning to give a thumbs up.
I think I might need a similar trigger warning for this year's elections, nearly half of world's population will be electing leaders this year and there has never been more misinformation and hate online.
Go watch some videos from real climate scientists that reacted to this video and you will realize that Sabine is out of her depth.
All the green NGO and their supporters in the media live from such fantasy to freighten the poeple.
@@nobodyimportant7804 a comment like this is useless without a reference to the other videos that you prefer
@@nobodyimportant7804
Who do you mean by "real climate scientist"? Name at least three of them.
I think the psychology of the lack of interest is that people will not preoccupy themselves with issues they feel powerless, as individuals, to change.
That’s true, but our individual psyches are created in part by our culture and history. Our current world is not setup for cooperation and we’ve allowed selfishness to thrive. The prosocial beliefs and behaviors necessary to change things are possible for humans to adopt, but it starts at the root. Maybe there’s something to the idea of a Capitalocene rather than an Anthropocene. I don’t think this is an innate problem of the human psyche, but of the psyche of the very Europeans whose worldviews spread around the world starting around the 16th century.
In principle it is a good thing we have this reflex. Because starting to panic or being depressed does not help.
We evolved to concentrate on the present, getting enough food for the next winter, having enough wood to heat, finding a partner and so on.
The most depressive thing to me is, that there are many things we can do quickly. We can build green energy fast, there is no physical limit in that. The technology is ready to cut down emissions by maybe 80% today.
We could build millions of wind turbines, solar cells, battery storage etc. in the next 5 years and shut of most of fossil fuel. Only after that we would neet technology that is not yet developed.
But why are we not doing it? Because of economical reasons. Nobody is willing to out down the mony to do this in the paste required. Many people would need to change their job from fossil to green energy really fast.
Fossil assets like fossil plants would lose most of their value.
We just do little to late right now and future generations are going to hate us for that.
The obscene wealth of algorithm-customized distractions does not help either. 🎪
That's because way back when we invented human society, we slowly stopped seeing ourselves as connected and started seeing individuals as powerful and independent. A proper perspective would be considerably more altruistic and ironically we would've been better equipped to handle current changes if we'd all had pre-social mindsets that view the family (in this case meaning the extended families of humanity and life on earth) as more important than its individual children.
Because it doesn't really matter how powerless an individual is, you see; in groups, we have power, so if every individual serves the group, the group becomes nigh-invincible. That's how both disease and multicellular life, teams and hive minds alike find success. Humans technically serve their group, but we spend way more time on ourselves and don't bother acting in ways that would benefit everybody if everybody acted that way. There's no money in it.
@@langohr9613ify I actually believe that capitalism is able to adapt relatively quickly. Like Sabine said just make carbon emission more expensive and energy providers will flock to renewable and nuclear energy to make money. There just need to be political will, which comes from the people, to make this choice which will affect them via the form of higher prices on almost everything.
Thats not the "hot models" i was hyped for 😢
I needed a good laugh after watching this video. Thanks.
@@user-ki4ek9wn1l Yes b/c you clearly, a stranger online, know far better than a scientist how the world and systems work. And you know better than me, even though I studed economics at the doctoral level. But what do I know?
@@user-ki4ek9wn1l She obviously knows more about the topic than you. Here in Germany we are more aware about the problem. Island states or low lands like the Netherlands also... Just the ducking super powers think they can decide how ever they want... thanks for messing it up for everyone else.
@@opheliawild You're right, but your arguments are invalid. Being a scientist doesn't make her an expert in all scientific fields, and it turns out she did trigger a response from an actual climate scientist.
As for the economic doctorate level... well... only people who have studied economics think economy is a serious field of study :D !
if ppl dont know about the climate scam by now, they deserve to be robbed in taxes @@user-ki4ek9wn1l
As a Frenchman, I'm not used to hearing a German person recommending to "build nuclear, build nuclear, build nuclear". It's an unusual but pleasant feeling, and I hope it will finally be echoed more widely among the German population. Building nuclear power plants takes a long time, and the German government is not even at the stage of thinking about possibly building a new one... This policy error will be costly for everyone
Nuclear is way more expensive and time consuming to build and operate than renewable energy sources.
For now, renewables are a bigger focus, because it's just faster and cheaper, which is really important if we want to quickly get away from fossil fuels.
@@deusexmachina5769 Then why close down the existing nuclear plants and replace them by coal plants ? The government shouldn’t have closed the existing ones down before enough renewables had been built. That is counterproductive from a climate crisis point of view
@@damienpeladan481 Yes, it is. That's why most parties advocated for doing exactly that. First you build more renewables and then you shut down nuclear.
But the CDU is incredibly corrupt and was obviously bought by the coal lobby, so they decided to instead replace it with coal.
But now the question is what to do now and building new nuclear is just too expensive and time consuming, so they're focusing on renewables instead.
In The U.S., private insurance companies won't insure nuclear plants. Why do you think that is?
@@deusexmachina5769 The problem with renewables is their inconsistency. Oil, natural gas and nuclear plants have to be ready to go instantly when the wind doesn't blow or the sun doesn't shine, and they're more inefficient at startup, so the result is MORE energy loss than if there was just one conventional energy source.
"Now, I'm not asking you to like this video, I don't really like it myself" got me to like the video
bunch of wank. one person does something unexpected and you're like "WOW THAT WAS SO COOL" and like it
Too bad real climate scientists have been dunking on her since she put this laughable video up.
I liked that comment too.
@@nobodyimportant7804whom? link them
@@nobodyimportant7804 the only video I could find from a professed climate scientist responding directly to this video was by "ClimateAdam." He disagreed with a chunk of what this woman says, but also implicated that man-made global warming is a very real thing, and addressing it in the long run is important.
The thing that I like most about this brilliant, humorous lady is that when she doesn't know something, she says so. That is a real scientist. Respect and thanks!
That is what scientists do. That is what they have to be pretty good at in order to Identity new research topics. If you have the feeling this isnt been done often enough i would probably change or at least check my source because typically this is a week spot of journalist, not the scientist.
Science lives off "don't know"'s. The whole point of a scientist it to ecxel in turning don't knows into knows. (The exact reverse of religion BTW, that exploit don't knows).
Journalist's tend to excel in misinterpreting science, trying to dumb it down for their readers, and screwing everything up in the process. Climate change is a great example of this, the term "global warming" is so soft and fluffy that it just hasn't got the real message over to the public. Messaging IS important, as any politician will agree.
Weird. What I noticed was hackneyed superficial banter.
Hi Sabine, I was really surprised by the dramatic forecast you gave at the end. I have seen in my life several major themes that would or should have ended or disrupted civilization. Overpopulation, global warming, thermonuclear war, ozone depletion and rising sea levels are but a few. Your forecast sounded so much like that type of talk. It has made me lose some confidence in you as a scientific commentator. I have a mathematics and physics background and have always enjoyed listening to your commentary on the physics fields. I have always felt you are an expert on physics matters. When you see that you get the most dislikes on your videos regarding climate change, I suspect the answer could be that you do not come across as such an expert on this topic. I disliked this video and did so because I felt it was the case. It is a sad outcome and something you should look into. It is likely I am not the only one who has formed this view. Anyhoo, I wish you a great day and will remain subscribed. Kindest regards, Tony
Sure?
“Unvaccinated are a danger to themselves and others. Of course, they should not have the same rights and freedoms as vaccinated people. Anyone who intentionally puts others in danger has to live with the consequences.”
Sabine 🤡 Hossenfelder - 2021
Sabine, I've always enjoyed your no bullshit presentations and I respect this one. I live in a rural area in a temperate zone on a piece of property that has been in my family for almost 70 years. I have seen the landscape change from as long as a person can remember. I have seen the first frost which used to occur in September move to late November and the ice on the nearby pond go from thin, but lasting for the month of January to becoming a rare and short lived event. I have seen the vegetation and the animal life change, mostly the insect life. I have seen the yellow pines wiped out by infestations of pine beetles and have observed that the white pines that used to thrive in this area are now barely hanging on and mostly dying. Fir and spruce used to grow here but they are all gone and the ones that I have planted in the last few years never last long. I will be trying to plant long leaf pines soon just to see what they do, the northern edge of their range used to be a couple hundred miles to the south but I suspect they will do better now if they aren't wiped out by some new infestation of insects. Every spring brings a new species of insect. We've gone from having one species of tick that was just a nuisance in the summer to having seven species of ticks, some of which are active all year round. I could go on by I'll spare you and your viewers. Just saying, if I had never seen a news article on climate change, I would be wondering what the hell has been going on and would be asking the scientists about it. I'm not optimistic, but I am observant. Thanks for scaring the hell out of me. I'm 66 years old and my health is not great so I might not see the worst of the coming effects but my children and grand children will. Thanks for scaring the hell out of me.
We are in a pretty similar situation. My wife and I moved to southern NH 40+ years ago and have witnessed the changes that have occurred over that timeframe. Living in a rural area makes you acutely aware of how finely adjusted flora and fauna is to the micro- climate of the area.
I have a farm in New Zealand, ive been scared for a couple of years now. Winter, if we have one is 2 months later than it used to be and the sun is hotter than ever. I suspect we will have trouble growing traditional crops within a short time and that we will be too slow to change. The world wont miss us but i worry for my daughters lives.
I remember watching ice sailboat races on the rivers in New Jersey as a kid. The rivers don't freeze at all anymore
@@farmboypresents9977 - you are right to be worried. The younger generations are in for a world of hurt.😞
the last year my country has seen drouts, heat waves, rain for 3 weeks straight and floods, a MASSIVE mosquito infestation (open the window, 10 mosquitos immediatly come in) and subsequent worsening of the dengue epidemic. how people continue to deny what is right in front of their eyes baffles me
It you look at the last 2,300 years we have had benign warm periods with a stable climate based on lateral Jet Streams, equally we have periods which are NOT benign in fact disturbed weather based on Meridional Jet Streams. These periods we call Grand Solar Minimums and Gleissberg periods lasting 102 years. With NON of it due to Human induced Climate Change, but everything to do, with our major source of Heat or Cooling on this Earth, our UV Variable Star.
CO2 LAGS temperature following solar induced temperature changes. In fact, Insects adds more CO2 and Methane than all of human emissions including farming put together. For a link look at world famines and the time scales of the Disturbed 102 years weather periods of GSM & Gleissberg’s, for example the Vandal Minimum 585AD to 800AD and the LIA period 1285AD to 1880AD and the Medieval Solar Warm Period between them.
The other thought is, models cannot model the climate of the world and are NOT gospells or truth, they are staticical tools which lie at will.
I guess the point is that it doesn't really "happens in front of their eyes." They read the newspaper, the desensitization of reading bad things every day, and in the end climate change and what happens to the people who live in those places is just a text on paper, not a reality. If you add to that the political debates in certain countries and the cultural influence they have, boom, nobody would care.
tbh i havent seen the video yet, but i wanted to comment this
vast majority of developed world doesn't live near equator nor have expose themselves to the plight of these nations, some nations even stands to benefit from extremely fast climate change, such as the likes of Russia and Canada.
Some of my friend live in Singapore and Indonesia, I often tell them to be their own best advocate, don't just expect some outside savior when SHTF, have a plan B before panic hits.
Have you ever looked at a 120 year old photo of a beach side by side with the same beach today? Are you denying what is right in front of your eyes?
15-20 years ago Everything was fine. You really think this little bit of co2 accelerates things THIS MUCH, within 5 years or so?!
I live on the Balkans and last year was the first time we had storms like ive never seen before, during summer, people died, children died and the temperature a few years ago never went over 33°C, but last year it was 40-42°C at times during summer season, and now we are experiencing up to 30°C in April and honestly idk what to expect
Climate the movie https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bOAUsvVhgsU
I live in Greece, and i came to this video exactly for this reason, after experiencing 32C 3 days ago and the situation only shows that this year's summer will be the hottest on the other hand, and on the other hand it will be the coldest that it is to come. Last year in Greece we reached 48C and probably this year we'll see 50, lots of people will die of heat, especially people who cant afford air conditioning (keep in mind that Greece has some of the most expensive electricity prices in the entirety of Europe)
@@darkforce6763 You should speak about "average monthy temp" , it was not as you say, wrong way to look at past summer, look greek statistics, south europe statistics, no sensible anomalies in 2023.
I was not very concerned about climate change (and not very informed either), but the last 4 years in my region in Brazil have been absurd. The climate, for us, in our small and populated region, started to change first, rapidly, noticeably. Very long dry periods (6/8 months without proper rain), many heat waves, some unbearable. Cold periods became sparce, short, unpredictable, rain comes sometimes but comes HEAVY and fast. Everyone noticed, the change. We are in a region of a climate particularly depended on the floating rivers of South America that comes from the Amazon, but the extra Celsius have changed, just a bit, the profile of rain and humidity in a region above us. That slight change was enough to change the cicle of how much water we can get. Because of the extra degree, the evaporation and rain cicle in Pantanal happens a little different now, a little early and rains a little further from us.
I visited the Pantanal, one of the most beautiful places on the planet, over 20 years ago and it breaks my heart to see what is happening to Brazil's wonderful natural paradises right now.
Sad greetings from Germany!
I also am Brazilian and I too began to worry about climate change this year of 2023. I live in Sao Paulo city and there wasn't a single day with a temperature lower than 10 °C. The number of days with heat waves was absurd, I've never had seen a spring so hot that people were dying. And we entirely skipped winter, august should be the coolest month of the year but in middle of august the temperature at night was 28 °C. The rains and storms are each time stronger, power goes out, the climate is crazy
@@joseivan2337 You mean the weather is crazy yes, the weather is a chaotic system so fluctations like these will always occur.
Was the Garden of Eden supercharged with atmospheric CO2?
Fact... All human activity = only 4% of Global CO2 production today.
Volcanoes alone, are dumping more CO2 into the atmosphere in a matter of weeks than humans do in a year.
Fact... Colorless, odorless atmospheric CO2 is the exact opposite of air pollution, and actually stimulates healthy plant and animal growth..
Fact... During the Age of Dinosaurs, atmospheric CO2 was well over 5,000 ppm.
Fact... The 500,000,000 year average for atmospheric CO2 is well over 1,000 ppm.
Since the last Ice Age 12,000 years ago, atmospheric CO2 has doubled to 420 ppm.
. Can you see how far from "normal" CO2 levels we still are today?
. Stop feeling guilty about human activity creating CO2.
As long as the trends are towards a warmer climate, we all have to stop being afraid of our naturally changing climate over time, and enjoy the ride (my opinion).
Who disagrees with any of these facts?... Anyone?
All of these facts are easy to prove true, so, who/what is promoting Global Fear of Climate Change, and why are they doing it?
*Answer:... If you have not personally investigated the World Ecinomic Forum
Great Reset 2030 Agenda yet, now's the time.*
@@albin4323what don't you understand when ppl say a certain temperature was NEVER that high? Stop lecturing people when they start to feel what scientists have forcasted to come for years. This denialism has brought us where we are. Is it also just "weather" when whole branches of the Amazonas dry out? Because I'm 48 years old, and this never happened in that scale, and ppl older than me living there say it never happened like that, so maybe just shut up and freacking listen.
"The problem is that we can't agree to implement the solutions we have." Loud standing ovation here.
Yep. And it's so. Fucking. Aggravating.
@@keiganblaise9878 what is aggravating? You have no idea how complex these things are! No idea whatsoever! What's actually aggravating is the shallow interpretations of people who think they understand such complex scientific domains and the extend of consequences of the offered solutions.
Video Tittle: Let them slave us with carbon taxes ASAP!!!!
@@C_R_O_M________what exactly is you alternative? Keep debating until there is 100% proof and evidence for exactly how some process is happening? Which by the way has pretty much never been reached in science, and is not the purpose of science.
So, what's you suggestion, just go on as usual not changing anything based on the understanding we now have, because it is too "complex"?
This woman is part of the problem. A smart person whoknows numbers is given a large set of fake numbers and is also given a reason for the fake numbers. Not knowing the area at all she is duped into thinking there is a problem.
Even many smart people dont know how to think for themselves.
One needs to only look at the late Permian mass extinction to become extremely scared, the TLDR is that massive volcanism caused CO2 and other greenhouse gas levels to skyrocket, and 80% of marine species and 70% of terrestrial vertebrates went extinct. I don't think we're likely to go that far, but even just a fraction this bad is practically hell. But I don't even need to look that far back to be scared, even in my own area there isn't more than a few days of snow a year anymore, and summers are unbearable without AC. I feel like in my own surroundings, now that we see with our own eyes that things are getting really abnormal, we've entered a stage where nobody is denying reality anymore but just trying not to think too much about it, because we need to keep living our lives and can't afford to have all that burden and pain on our minds all the time. I don't know how bad things will be, but it's abundantly clear that we will not react thoroughly and quickly enough, so shit will definitely hit the fan, the only question is when and how hard.
Smh, its really sad that they got the kids scared to this point. Worry about more serious things like the jab for example.
@garremannen "it's really sad they got kids scared"
is afraid of shots like a literal child
??????
Yes. But for some reason most climate crisis advocates seem to ignore everything except man made CO2. If it was as bad as some say, why won't the governments of developed nations mandate reductions in CO2 output within the government itself instead of adding tens of thousands of government employee vehicles per year for example? And EV's have been shown to produce as much or more atmospheric CO2 as petroleum based vehicles when production and manufacturing ecological impacts are compared over the vehicles lifespan. Too many unknowns and variables at this point to say for sure what the actual causes (and solutions) are at this point.
I agree with all points you mentioned. One thing at 17:30 where I would mildly disagree. I think, stuff will not just be much more expensive but whole markets will collapse. Markets are not naturally given, they are a set of regulations that require certain prerequisites (e.g. defence of property). Once food exporting nations will suffer from these huge droughts, the farmers there will no-longer export for some green paper - they will keep the food for themselves. Meaning that certain foods will not just be crazy expensive in the global north as well, but simply not available (e.g. exotic fruits like avocados, bananas, coffee etc. But also many meat products because there will not be enough soy for all the animals.)
I think, we in the global north, should (if we can afford it ofc) reduce our regular working time as much as possible (e.g. to 60%) and use the additional 40% time to create local, de-centralized agro-forst/permacultural systems. This would benefit us in at least three different ways at the same time.
1. We create resilient social and ecological systems in our neighborhood (which will be much needed once the crisis really kicks in). This increases the capabilities of our societies to react together towards crisis + the strength of ecosystems to have more time to adapt to new climatical circumstances.
2. We invest less time in the current dys-functional (economic) system and therefore reducing our carbon footprint + handprint AND produce less stuff that can be a threat in moments of conflict (e.g. weapons)
3. We increase our food security and reduce the induced stress for exporting regions as well (e.g. countries that suffer from droughts just to produce water-intensive fruits/crops for the global north)
4. Potentially, psychologically, we will be happier because we create something with our communities which leads to stronger social bonds and less climate anxiety (through meaningful action)
5. List to be continued - happy to hear your thoughts
what you'e listing i part of contingency plans being setup on national levels. did you read what your gov is building up?
It has been my observation that there are a lot of people that vote to save the planet but almost none that will do anything if it involves actual change in their lifestyle. Thus, if the models are actually correct, then the situation can only be resolved with calamity.
Unfortunately I'm afraid that might be corredt
No one is willing to accept real sacrifices to benefit strangers.
This is true, but never forget that, for true change, an honest effort by government and industry is essential.
They create markets and mass consent on a regular basis. They must do that in regard to the climate crisis...or we are in for a lot of trouble...
2023 had most Carbon reductions . carbon dioxide blocks heat both ways. The molecule is to dense to hold much energy
Our modern society,as an overreaction to the socially conscious movements, is so individualized only personal trouble seems to motivate (and then, only individual action for the most part)
I live in the Phoenix area, dotted with the Sonoran Saguaro cactus - which have a lifespan of up to 200 years. We had record breaking heat last summer, with over 30 consecutive days with highs of 110+, and the nighttime air was too hot for them, they lost a ton of moisture during their air exchange period when they open their pores after sundown. I went on a hike last sunday and the McDowell Sonoran preserve was littered with the bones of fallen giants, Saguaros decades+ old that has died over the summer. I've never seen anything like it.
That's heartbreaking.
Why do all the elites buy sea front property if the ice caps are melting 😂😂 think about it
@mostlycloudy1738 they arnt thinking about 20 years from now. They are thinking "I want to live on the beach"
@@mostlycloudy1738 "Why do all the elites buy sea front property if the ice caps are melting 😂😂 think about it" There's nothing the think about--sea level rise is a terrible thing we have done to future generations--our emissions in the past and now have ripple effects for up to 150 years, but the serious effects won't happen for awhile for most places. Right now, sea level rise is only ~4.6 mm/yr, so there's no reason for elites to not buy beachfront property that sits 10 feet above the waves.
@@mostlycloudy1738 Using crying emojis in a smug way has to be a sing of very low IQ.
Thank you for the word of caution. I'll come back to the video when I am in a better place in life.
Same
It's not that bad. Just more conjecture about migration based on nothing. There are much worse things in life than climate models confusing people. I hope you feel better.
That will never happen wake up
@@TheCactusjack1 well, you’re just a dummy
The Permafrost in the northern hemisphere is melting for the first time in 2 million years. And it's not only melting, it's melting from the bottom up because there's enough biomass in there for the bacteria to produce enough heat to melt adjacent permafrost. That's a lotta methane.
"No I'm not asking you to like this video, I don't even like it myself" sent a chill up my spine
Abusing climate fear for 3 videos in a short period of times to generate clicks sent a chill up mine.
@@Hentai-Semite You don't fear climate change at all. Don't be disingenuous.
@@Hentai-Semite one person here spoke truth...and it wasn't you.
Chill that.
@@Hentai-Semite Keep looking for fair ways of comunicating unfair problems while the ones that don't care at all keep the bussiness as usual
You scare too easily...
For me, I'm tired of this topic not because I don't believe in it, but because knowing more about it actively makes my life more depressing and worse, while I can't really change my life in a way that solves this problem.
The climate has to change. It’s not a static thing. It can’t be static.
@@stormchaser9753 Look up dunning-kruger effect. Please try not to ignore facts.
@@stormchaser9753 What climate scientist have you seen saying that climate is static?
I’m tired of it specifically because I trust it, but because no matter how much more I learn about it, how much irrefutable evidence I see, I still know there are so plenty of potato brains in the world who prefer to live in denial, let propagandists tell them everything’s fine, and hinder efforts to do something about it.
I empathize with you, but I disagree that there's nothing you can do. You're right that you can't change your lifestyle to solve it because you're just one person. But what one person can do is stay engaged politically. Like it or not, politics is intrinsic to how we live our lives. It's literally us having a say in how things should be done.
Write to your reps, attend meetings, donate, sign petitions (or even make new ones), etc. There are plenty of ways to stay engaged and you're probably going to find one or two that work for you if you give it a try. (Forgive me if you already are - on the internet, context is hard)
I tried having a conversation with someone about climate change once. Didn't know it was such a divisive topic. Everyone is offended by everything. We can't even have a discussion.
regardless of whether or not you agree with Sabine we should all agree that her approach is far more meaningful and effective than the throw soup on paintings style complainers. She identifies what she feels is a serious problem, lays out why she sees it as a problem, and then lists several actions that she believes will provide a solution to the problem she identifies.
We need more of this. More honest, calm, non-hostile presentations of the problems we are facing and possible solutions.
It's funny how the "solutions" always end up with people getting poorer and losing rights. While climate change, zombies always gain wealth and power over others.
When you already have people's attention, sure. The people throwing soup\paint\etc on paintings, are just trying to draw attention to an issue they feel is not getting the attention it's due. Unlike many issues, environmental issues draw mostly nonviolent protests, so far...
@@prophetzarquon1922 if there goal is to convince people to take their cause seriously then they failed miserably.
Imagine your neighbor things something your doing is wrong and to throws soup on your all over your car. Would you take the person seriously?
These idiotic tactics are dreamed up by ignorant young people. The people who are capable of making the changes are turned against causes.
@@qwertycurta9890 It makes otherwise disinterested people ask why it was done; it conveys urgency, even desperation. Certainly it attracts the attention of more people, than polite discourse between (probably like-minded) people already aware of the severity of an issue. If anything, the main reason such protests are not as effective as they could be, is that they are not disruptive enough to create major financial/productivity incentive for change. Considering that severity & rate of waste production are still increasing far beyond token mitigation efforts, open sabotage would not be an unreasonable outcome, & any "protest" short of that may be more insufficient than misguided.
@@prophetzarquon1922 on the contrary such activities only work to turn people against the very cause they hope to get support for. It further provides the government with a legitimate reason to target individuals engaging in what are criminal activities as law enforcement is one of the core functions of government.
As for open sabotage, you are describing outright criminal behavior. I have always found it strange how people are so willing to accept criminal actions inflicted on people who they don't like and then are irate and demanding justice when those same criminal actions are inflicted on them.
If we're being completely honest they such means are even more despicable because there are no good solutions to these problems. So far ever solution provided has serious draw backs and problems. Not the least of which is that people like yourself are not going to give up the very things that are causing the problems.
I'm the end the means matter just as much as the ends. Otherwise it's just another cases of jack booted thuggery by some group who thinks they are some righteous for when they commit there atrocities
I’m currently studying sustainable design Engineering. Everyone told me it’s not worth it, but listening to this video now I feel like I made the right decision.
it definItly is, keep it up!
You are doing a service, while things like going vegetarian/saving energy are good, this is a step toward large-scale change.
Within a capitalist society sustainability does not work eventually. Most people speaking of it just use it for marketing purposes. The idea is nice, but idealists are the people who end up getting abused by our society.
"Sustainable design engineering" done by humans will never be sustainable. You are marginally decreasing destruction, because your bosses will NOT PAY for actual sustainable development.
@@scepticalchymist ye you right so lets just keep rollin the way we used to till the great downfall of humanity
I'm Australian, spent the first half of my life growing fruit, 4th generation to do so. We started seeing measurable change in 1980s. Increased hail, higher temps burning fruit and higher minimum temperatures affecting fruit budding. The harvesting season has moved to earlier in year by about 3 weeks. Bush fire season can be up to 8 months or more now. Australia has always had extremes but now the extremes are extreme. As modelling and now reality shows we are one of the most affected countries with climate change. Already more sensitive crops are having to either move south or higher in altitude. This of course has limitations, especially altitude. Already a very dry continent with over use of irrigation growing the wrong crops the future doesn't fill me with delight. And that's not mentioning the affects on our ocean fisheries or our wonderful unique wildlife.
Also Australian, and have noticed the same. It is heart-breaking, and still we continue down the same stupid path.
Tomatoes here in Nz have become notoriously hard to grow because our UV levels atm are through the roof
😂😂 you don't "notice" climate change, it happens over time scales more vast than a humans life time or 2. What you are seeing is called the weather. Yes it can and does fluctuate. Its not global warming.
Weren't water rights in Australia also tradable like stocks?
The forecast depletion of 50% of the Globe's aquifers, by 2050, will force starvation and mass population migrations, decades before average temperatures are forecast to make the cultivation of the existing crops impossible, if there were only the goundwater. Places like Saudi have already banned the use of groundwater for agriculture, as for now they can sell oil to import food, and burn oil to desalinate water. Though Australia, China, Pakistan, India, Bangladesh, Iran, Turkey, Mexico, Spain, USA, ..., aren't is the same position, and have 4bn bodies dependent on pumping ground water.
Thank you for this sober and calm analysis of a topic which gets ignored by most people. Please continue with your courage and balls!
I'm from Argentina, and even though we are far from the equator, we are having extremes temperatures every summer, with alternating big floods and droughts. This year we had a dengue epidemic, something that never happened before. With the rising temperatures, the aedes mosquitoes are now reaching the south of the country, and they are not likely to die in the winter, because winters are not that cold anymore. When I was young, freezing temperatures where something usual in the south of the Buenos Aires province, and now these are becoming less frequent every year.
Coordinated global action is needed to change our energy infrastructure. All the world should be relying on nuclear energy, but with the increasing geopolitical tensions, with so much hatred all around the world, the fear of nuclear energy being used in the wrong sense is prevailing over the climate crisis.
You could be skeptical of climate change 20 years ago. Today if you deny the global warming you are just someone totally incapable of seeing the world around you. This should be everyone's concern, but governments are making money with the war machine instead of investing those efforts in making world civilization sustainable. Civilization, what a word, every year that passes the world looks more like what Carl Sagan envisioned in The Demon Hunted World, with societies being drafted into magical thinking and obscurantism.
Never stop talking about it, and don't apologise, Sabine. It's one of the most important subjects of modern times.
No it isn't
"Never stop talking about it, and don't apologise"
Show some FAITH! Believe!
@@paddleed6176 Just curious. How old are you and where do you live? I'm 54. Cochabamba, Bolivia.
Suggestiin: look up #JHAT, Just Have A Think.
@@thomasmaughan4798 Or, you know, do what Sabine does and show some evidence. That thing the Abrahamic religions never do for the supernatural.
These guys will deny any evidence shown to them but they'll wholeheartedly believe in supernatural beings without any evidence 😂
My anxiety is actually reduced by seeing people taking this seriously. Even though I've completely abandoned all hope, it's nice to not feel gaslighted about the problem :)
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Learn how to cook tofu, chia seeds in lemonade, bread, rice beans, low sodium plant-based and you will lower your carbon footprint.
Chia seeds are organic, have a complete protein and are 35% fiber for maintaining adequate moisture in the colon.
Weakling. Climate isn't spiraling out of control. Your mental health and rationality are.
If you desire information on climate history, please look at Tony Heller's work.
I hear you! It's madness hearing denial of facts in common conversations, especially about something as essential as our climate. Farmers have been worried for decades.
@@jaredkaye3669Thanks!
Just discovered thus channel and I love finding academic and well presented information on my feed like this!
Thanks Sabine. Great stuff!! I agree. btw, greetings from Ireland
I'm 60 and have seen changes, one is the lack of flying insects, over 40 years ago, I'd return from a summer ride on my motorbike and would barely be able to see through the insect smeared visor, these days four or five insects over the whole visor.
You're probably thinking of the 1979 greenfly explosion. Like all these events, just one of those things that happens occasionally. Nothing to worry about. There is no man-made climate change.
Couldn’t be the huge increase in telecom masts & the 1000s 3:42 & 1000s of low orbiting telecom satellites.
There’s a rumour that insects, birds etc may be sensitive to emf environments
Even us!
& there has been a huge increase in the incidence of a once rare brain cancer glioblastoma as well as an increase in heart & brain conditions among young & middle age adults
& an explosion in dementia in older adults
Must be climate change!
Which explains the dramatic collapse in amphibian populations, in particular frogs and toads. I’m in my 60s too and have observed that the world of my youth and the world we live in now aren’t the same — and I don’t like it. I blame humans. We’re the cause of climate change and I have little faith in our willingness to address the crises that lies ahead. God help us…
I've been a truck driver for about 35 years and I've noticed the same. Vehicles used to be caked in bugs. There's a highway that goes through Toronto and 30 years ago I'd have to constantly clean my windscreen. Now, no matter where I drive there are hardly any insects. I emailed a Monarch researcher in Michigan mentioning that on my drives, on average, I would count between 70 to 90 Monarchs hitting my truck every day not counting the possible near hits or the ones I didn't see. During peak migration I've counted 120 to 140. She wasn't impressed which blew my mind. I don't hear bird song anymore, and this is the first year I haven't had any mice getting into my house. Things are bad
I'm also 60 and noticed this too. It's one of the scariest examples of baseline shift. Young people see this as normal and don't know how different and rich our world used to be.
the fact that this video is only a day old and has over 14k comments already, with over half a million views, pretty much says it all. it doesn't matter what stance a body takes on the topic, it drives people to engage with the topic. i feel bad for whoever Sabine's community manager is (especially if it's herself) 'cause those comments are going to range from the rage cage murder threat comments to the supportive thanks for the information comments.
Climate change is real. Both sides can agree. The problem for me and alot of us is, WE are doing ALOT more than anyone else. And it gets used to push “The Green New Deal” ala AOC. Why don’t Greta and AOC go to China and get them to make changes? They want us to give them trillions of dollars for solar panels that they don’t bother to invest in themselves. They have more than quadrupled their emissions since 2000. They’ve built more coal power plants than the rest of the world combined last year… which they also managed to accomplish the year before that as well. We’ll build better sustainable housing and China will keep building ghost cities of skyscrapers. Dumping trash into the ocean. And creating so much air pollution that 2 million people die a year in their country from it.
The 1% know which videos to push, bc they're part of the agenda. I would question videos high in popularity, & not automatically think there's something valid in it.
@@NE0Nwhip I assume you dont get your head checked only because psychiatrists are also part of the agenda? :D
@@NE0Nwhipso I see you’re in the first camp huh
. Was the Garden of Eden supercharged with atmospheric CO2?
Fact... All human activity = only 4% of Global CO2 production today.
Volcanoes alone, are dumping more CO2 into the atmosphere in a matter of weeks than humans do in a year.
Fact... Colorless, odorless atmospheric CO2 is the exact opposite of air pollution, and actually stimulates healthy plant and animal growth..
Fact... During the Age of Dinosaurs, atmospheric CO2 was well over 5,000 ppm.
Fact... The 500,000,000 year average for atmospheric CO2 is well over 1,000 ppm.
Since the last Ice Age 12,000 years ago, atmospheric CO2 has doubled to 420 ppm.
. Can you see how far from "normal" CO2 levels we still are today?
. Stop feeling guilty about human activity creating CO2.
As long as the trends are towards a warmer climate, we all have to stop being afraid of our naturally changing climate over time, and enjoy the ride (my opinion).
Who disagrees with any of these facts?... Anyone?
All of these facts are easy to prove true, so, who/what is promoting Global Fear of Climate Change, and why are they doing it?
*Answer:... If you have not personally investigated the World Ecinomic Forum
Great Reset 2030 Agenda yet, now's the time.*
I think the main issue is that people dont really grasp the number +5. They immediatelly will think "oh its only +5 degrees, thats nothing". But they need to think about what that will do to ecosystem. +5 to nature is more like +30 to humans. So imagine u r now in the summer, and u r getting not +25C but +55C. I guess that's the only way how can some people really get it in their head. Basically .. nature is existing on a very different temperature range than humans because its BIG and its actually impressive it can even handle such changes like +3 planet wide.
also, I think the meaning is lost on many Americans in particular who are most familiar with Fahrenheit, where 5° isn't all that much of a difference. but the difference between 35°c and 40°c is a jump of nearly ten degrees in Fahrenheit (from 95° to 104°) which is a marked difference. so I think Americans who don't understand Celsius, or haven't seen the equivalent of 5°c of warming is in Fahrenheit are able to more easily shrug at global warming.
@@septanine5936No. It’s that the origin story of the 2C window has been bastardized, forgotten, and never learned over the past 30 years
The 2C window was originally to discuss the concept of water expansion in certain port cities whose infrastructure was outdated where 1-2C =1-2ft of sea level rise ‘in that area’ would cause supply chain issues
It was introduced 30 years ago in 1992 so that politicians and constituents ‘in those areas’ could consider what infrastructure changes, accounting, voting, building, re-modeling, permitting, immigration etc they were either going to plan for or potentially get stuck with
The people doing the loudest most uninformed screaming are too young and uninformed to know what the issue was or what was being done about it and are usually types not willing to do their part because they all want to live like teenagers into mid life and want to be outpatient mental patient ADHD psychotics on disability smoking weed as unemployables and not paying taxes for infrastructure upgrades while whining for more social programs and frivolously litigiously milking the medical system while ‘influencing’ online as toxic ‘outside agitators’
I live in south Louisiana. A very humid area. Last summer we had a drought. It went 2 months without rain when normally, the summer is full of rain. The plants died. The first drought even in my 80 year old grandad’s memory.
Thunderstorms used to be a summer thing in my childhood. Last year, after the drought, the rain was much worse than normal. Its like it came late. By fall and continuing into this spring, everytime it rains here, it floods. It rains until cars are underwater. If there is going to be rain, everyone is staying home. Why was covid lockdown such a big deal, but the “economy “ isnt concerned with all the missed work days due to climate change?
because "covid" kills people immediately...
50 years ago, hitting 100° was a big deal where I live. It rarely happened. Last summer we hit 100° for 30 days straight. We suffered drought and farmers lost crops. It's been really hot for about a decade now.
It’s crazy
Where I live, in SE PA, USA, it feels like the opposite. This is anecdotal, but I’d say summers tend to be cooler and wetter than they used to. But winters are way warmer. Snow is becoming rare.
@chmd22 NJ here. Snow is far from rare. We haven't been slammed in a few years, mid-90s and late 2000's were the last time I remember blizzards that dropped several feet of snow. In the mid 2010's we had those "polar vortexes" those winters were brutally cold. The last few winters have been relatively mild.
It's a natural occurrence. Ever hear of the dust bowl? Nature does stuff. The sun, the earth, the sky... Everything is in flux. It always has been.
A few years ago in July or so, it snowed in both hemispheres. When it snows in summer in North America--that's climate change.
The recorded temperature history is too short a time to be considered entirely useful in climate determinations such as what is "natural" variability?
CO-2 is plant food, so what do they do? Biofuels--cut down and burn forests. When normally green trees would absorb and thereby sink carbon from the atmosphere, idiots are paid to destroy forests--that makes no sense. Who paid them?
Where I am a few years ago they had the coldest day on record in over a century, but that lasted only a day or so, and then the temperature went back up high again.
Naysayers. They always seem to be wrong.
What is to say that Dr. Helmut Fluhrer's precipitation-influencing ionic atmospheric layer devices have not been deployed and used to promote globalism? In 2010 his company was known as Metro Systems and his company made artificial rainstorms in Abu Dhabi UAE for about 50 of 60 days when normally there is no precipitation at all.
Now his company is named Weathertec. Born in Germany, and living in Switzerland, Fluhrer's critics are naysayers who base their criticisms on absolutely nothing. That's like saying that there is no causal link between smoking cigarettes and lung cancer--also known as tobacco science.
Thick rainstorm clouds in the daytime cast very dark shadows that block the sun's rays from reaching the surface and heating it. What if clouds at nighttime were eliminated to let surface-level heat disperse into outer space. What is the capacity of outer space to dissipate such radiation? Thereby, any daytime accumulated heat can be cast into outer space by clearing the skies at night.
The ionic polarization of the atmosphere can be altered by throwing a polarity switch on such atmospheric layer ionization machines.
Wikipedia used to have a citation of Metro Systems weather modification experiments of 2010. The article had the information excized. Who would have that be done? Hmmm?
reference: business journal artificial rainstorms abu dhabi uae
In this case, climate change can be compelled by the constant operation of such equipment to whatever purpose is desired--heating or cooling. Energy saving or energy-wasting on heating or cooling.
The people with huge amounts of money pay hired goons to enforce their will on the rest of us. Some guy invents a 100 mpg v-8 carburetor in the 1920s. What happens? Lead is added to gas as an anti-knock agent that just happens to clog such carburetor designs--coincidence--I think NOT! Some video on YouTube explains that the addition of lead to gas ended up killing a lot of people with this additive. Lead and other heavy metals are known causes of brain damage.
Experiments were done with WW1 battleship hull painters to get rid of their lead poisoning. Those who had heart conditions said that the treatment made their heart condition disappear. Later that treatment was banned so that heart surgeons would not lose any business. Fake studies were done to pooh-pooh the entire finding. Science is for sale--a corrupt business you could find anywhere in our corrupted world where love of money motivates the masses to do immoral things that damage themselves and their loved ones. Seems that the rich want to get richer and lord over the rest of us. Some schemes should be invented, not Marxism, that counteracts the evils of Marxism such as central banking and control of financial systems by constantly changing monetary policies and encouraging people not to work by giving more people handouts whenever they vote for them.
How to undo corruption? Advanced lie detection systems, truth serums, and a list of pointed questions to unearth corruption and its network of influencers and financial supporters. Punish the guilty rather than the innocent.
What worries me most is that the Keeling curve doesn't show any change from its exponential growth the last 10 years. Only in 1991-1992 there was a tiny, tiny dip, arguably due to Mount Pinatubo eruption, or collapse of the Sovjet Union. So, CO2 reductions have not been registered...
Dec 3rd 1972
50 top scientists met at Brown University to write an open letter to Nixon to save us from the coming ice age by melting the arctic by covering it with soot.
Jan 5th 1978 NYT
International team of spspecialist finds no end in sight of 30 year cooling trend in noerthern hemisphere.
The same year a world Meteorologist meeting was held in Geneva to counter global cooling
China.
@@beskydyk And then wait for India and else
@@beskydyk China has increased his carbon emissions but also because most countries are externalising its production, which means that we're mostly buying things that were made there (and so polluted there). It's unfair to say that Europe is a "clean" region when that comes at the price of polluting in the other side of the globe.
I'm 25 years old, I'm Italian and I want a family but I'm very worried about the future of my hypothetical child, if I had a child now, what would the scenario be? Today here in northern Italy the temperature was 28°C, normally in April the temperature here is 15/17°C, this is really the saddest thing in my life, no child equals no future, no humanity, nothing special, Nothing. Yes, if I die, it was a pleasure to be here, but no, I don't want my son to have a life without dreams, without food, without water, without a real Welfare. Some tell me: terrible things have happened in the past too, and yet they had children anyway, well but in the past they had the hope that the planet would exist for years to come, now I'm not sure anymore
your correct, millions of humans have had children in terrible circumstances. if you really want children, you should have them.
We have made the colossal mistake of wielding technology like a club, when we should have been wielding it like a scalpel.
"Those poor people who dont conveniently die right away." Sabine you are a rockstar
Her sardonic comment is the official policy the the American Republican Party it its MAGA Christians.
A rabid eugenicist. A predator trapped in a gilded cage plotting the death of everything moving freely. Evil itself is what I take from the presentation.
What people miss about the climate migration crisis is that nation states do not simply lay down and die. Northern nations are regressing politically, turning more to ethnonationalism, halting immigration, and turning their borders into armed fortresses. The plan the first world is converging to is to raise the drawbridge and shoot anyone who shows up at the gates. While this technique can keep out a loose flood of disorganized migrants, it fails when actual nation states are involved. Border patrols aren't going to stop armies.
And the real scary thing about this is we're talking massive heavily armed nation states with nothing to lose. What will the leaders of India do if they're told that in ten years, 95% of their population will be dead due to lethal heatwaves? If history teaches us anything, it's that those leaders will start demanding a place for their people to migrate to. They won't just want us to let immigrants in, they will want us to hand over some of the increasingly habitable high latitude territories as land for entire nations to relocate to.
And these governments really will have nothing to lose. We have been spoiled in the post-1945 world in that nuclear weapons, for all their terror, have meant that the big nation states don't fight total wars against each other anymore. There's literally no reason to; anything you would hope to gain from attacking another nuclear power would be more than cancelled out by the apocalyptic destruction a nuclear conflict would unleash.
But if your nation is already facing annihilation, if doing nothing will result in the certain doom of your people, what do you have to lose? If the Indian subcontinent becomes completely uninhabitable, the people living there, in the most populace nation on Earth, literally have nothing to lose by throwing their entire society into a total war effort to capture more habitable lands. Even if that conflict results in a nuclear war, it's still a rational strategy for them to pursue. If you're facing a changing climate that will kill 95% of your people, a nuclear war, even one that kills 75% of your people, is a good move. Vast regions of the globe being rendered uninhabitable is one of the few scenarios where a nuclear exchange may actually be a sane choice to a sufficiently desperate country.
And the reason I mention nukes is to break through Western chauvinism and beliefs about the absolute military superiority of Western countries. Even if you believe that the northern countries, by din of their vastly superior military acumen, will somehow resist an entire Indian subcontinent thrown into a total war economy, nukes put the lie to that idea. We're engineering a situation where even nuclear war is a rational option for nations of sufficient desperation. And most people are in complete denial about it, thinking that the worst that will happen through climate change is a few coastal vacation homes get flooded.
I wish it was funny.
nice synchronicity, five seconds before I called her a “rockstar” too! 😎
I find it so hard to understand why everyone with eyes, ears, and a normally functioning brain isn't terrified of what is happening.
Climate Change is not necessarily an intuitive topic. To fully appreciate it you need to not only know a bit of climate science but also have an understanding of thermodynamics, predictive modelling, hysteris in systems, and a half dozen other STEM concepts that most people are never educated on.
It's also an issue where the prescription given to ordinary people sucks. Eat less meat, ride the bus, use paper straws, stop flying in airplanes, and be willing to pay more for consumer goods. Oh and if you do all that we're all still probably doomed because your individual consumer habits dont make a dent.
We shouldn't pretend that climate denial, as an emotional response, is difficult to understand. The question still needs to be how do you cut through that and convince people to sacrifice and feel fear about something that to those not scientifically educated can feel like bullshit.
🤔 Probably cos, most societies worldwide have been based in having "faith" in God magic (as in "trust me bro" ) & say it's a virtue to trust in "faith" that a "god" is looking after us / will fix it..
( or is MEANT to bring the "end of times", saving them 🤦♀️)
This has been a dangerous slippery slope into self-blinding from the obvious reality around us, & excusing them from thinking they need to do anything to help..
🤔 Can't blame peeps centuries+ ago cos they had no way to know better..
But now we DO have the tools to see/ measure the reality we really live in, & the physical ability to help fix what we've been doing wrong ..
🤦♀️☮️🌏
Because we have been fear mongered for two decades and beraly anything have happened? Just the predictions and threats are ramping up. At least that's what my eyes and ears have been observing. This video slightly worried me, as a first, in a long time.
Because it’s bad for your mental health. There’s nothing we can bloody do about it except vote. In a republic, you depend on your representatives to act.
@rpals5412 climate change scares me because from my understanding by the time it starts effecting us it will be too late to turn it around and I don't trust institutions to take climate change seriously until it starts effecting their profits.
The scariest thing to me is that my body seems to be adjusting to the warmer temperatures. A few years ago we got the first 60F degree day in February and I walked out in a t-shirt because I was so hot from the weather, since it used to be about -5F for a lot of February. This year we had almost a whole week of that temperature in February and I only noticed it because it looks very wrong to have such warm temperatures before early April around here. I tried wearing a t-shirt like I had when it first happened. I couldn’t do it, I still needed a jacket.
Hi Sabine. To be honest, I'm one of those whom has become fed up with climate change discussions, programmes, videos and expert opinions. But I can honestly say, your video is one of the most convincing arguments I have come across, to wake up my concern about climate change affects. Although, let's hope your doomsday predictions are wrong and others wake before its too late to stop the human misery that sounds inevitable unless we act. Thank you for the video.
I'm Colombian and in the particular area where i live, it hasn't rain in like 2 months and counting. Water is running out, Heat is reaching peak highs, i know it because i work construction and the sun it's unbearable compared to previous years. Mind you the place i live has abundant water, but two to three months without a single drop of water dries anything including crops plus the wildfire crisis. Farmers are concerned, everyone is.😢
i live in south brazil... the cut down of amazon forest changed the rains here too... now the rains that should go to colombia and other western latam countries go to here... and a lot of floods are happening
@@fete0 It's really problematic how drastic it can be, most people here don't even own a car or heavy industry. Somehow we get affected 😔.
It's called HAARP.
climate is variable and there are 10 20 50 100 200 1000 years cycle
Buy carbon credits, and everything will be fine.
The thing that worries me is that every IPCC report includes a phrase to the effect of "things are accelerating faster than previously supposed". If we keep adjusting the model to accommodate "faster than supposed" growth, and the next year comes out even more faster than supposed, I dunno, seems like a problem.
This is only true if you look at recent years. There was an entire decade(2005-2015) where the global average temperature didn’t move much at all and the predictions were much worse than reality. They’re quick to say that THAT was an outlier decade, but when we have a massive unusual global heatwave of a summer in 2023, which is the definition of an outlier, they will say that’s indicative of an accelerating temperature change. It’s not. There’s not enough data yet so it, by definition, is an outlier & just a weirdly hot year, which more aligns with the solar cycle than anything else.
They fake the data. They are constantly "adjusting" past temperatures based on a number of excuses to make them cooler. They claim stuff like temperature gauges weren't accurate enough etc, and then adjust the data to the numbers that meet their agenda.
Then their models are constantly wrong. And as the saying goes, if the predictions are wrong, it's because the hypothesis was incorrect. That's how real science works.
They also assume that heat exchange with the interior of the Earth can't change on the order of a human life span while there is no measurement to support that since most of the Earth's surface is covered in water and we know more about Mars than we do about the Ocean floor.
The model isn't causing the warming. Even if we adjust model to accommodate faster warming (not really how it works), there's no causal loop that that then makes Earth warm even faster. Just means we keep under estimating it.
@@mirfjc Oh, thank goodness this poster was around to inform us that observational data doesn't cause the observational data that is observed when taking observational data.
Pluvial Event, which occurred about 232 million years ago, marked a dramatic turn in Earth's climate history to a prolonged phase of intense rainfall that lasted between one and two million years.
What I liked most of this and prevous video where you shared your frustration on your career path is your calm voice under the stress situation and not that hysterical attempt to put physics in the brain of genZ. Weiter so!
13:16
Hearing you curse is such a weird surprise. I felt that frustration
All else aside, it kind of turns me on when she swears. 😍
It's very hard to feel anyone is serious when we aren't switching to nuclear power. Especially if China and India don't switch first. We share 1 atmosphere.
@@jr7853nuclear power isn't a panacea. It isn't going to cleanse the environment of micro plastics andnforever chemicals, it isn't going to reverse the greenhouse gas feedback loop, it isn't going to regrow the forests, it isn't going to restock global fisheries. Nuclear power is a piece of the puzzle, and only a piece that's meant to replace the fuel that our civilization runs on not ensure it's sustainability, even though it is less of a carbon footprint I believe it would only keep the status quo, i.e. capitalism.
@@jr7853 : Who is "anyone" in that scenario? The public doesn't decide these things. The people who want nuclear have to get investors and they tend to be big money losers. China invests more in nuclear and renewables than any other country. India is still a distant 3rd to the US in carbon emissions.
you know what? too late: "experts" have been telling us the end of the world is near for at least 50 years. I don't blame anyone for not believing "scientists"
I live in Northern Europe and love my local forest. Last summer which was unusually long, dry and hot I've found out that one of my favourite spots in the forest that also had some very rare plants was being quickly destroyed by bark beetles. It was like a warzone! Huge old spruce trees were dying quickly, falling and the sound of the beetles chewing on the bark was eerie. I literally cried in shock. They were always there but never in such quanitites and destroying the forest so quickly! It came to my mind that sooner or later our forest may be completely gone if this continues. I don't know what I'm gonna do if it happens. The forest has been my best friend, therapist and also a provider of nutrient-rich food. It will be so stressful to see it dying that i may have to move elsewhere. I believe, the bark beetles propagated due to the favourable conditions, like the extremely dry, hot and long summer. I really hope it will not be like this every year, but looks like science doesn't support it.
Tonga volcano 2022. Why aren't climate scientists talking more about that event that lofted huge amounts of IR-absorbing water vapor into the normally dry stratosphere where it is especially well-placed to absorb IR and affect the climate?
I just returned from Iceland. Had a great time hiking over glaciers that will be gone in 10 years. Real tragedy.
But is it a win or loss for life ? Forest lost, beetles won. Sometimes it feels that climate examples are very human egoistic, but phrased as an issue of life itself. Or more specificly, we are worried for our life to be exactly as it is now and not different,, like old people want the life to be as when they were young. Should we be looking forward to changes, rather than grasping at the past ?
@@dmitripogosian5084 To me, a selfish anthropocentric nordic woman who loves forest, it is my own personal tragedy and it matters to me the most. Of course, mentally I can empathize with the creatures who will gain something with the loss of the forest (but I'm pretty sure those who lose will be in much greater numbers), and I respect the dynamics of nature and its power over us. But emotionally I cannot accept it and will fight until I lose.
@@ChaviChoffChop That is understandable and valid position. But perhaps when we are talking about policies for the whole human population, it makes sense to point out that we often mean preservation of life very literally as it is now. For instance, it is probably far less important than in 100 years Manhattan will be underwater than some other things, and actually it is easier to relocate Manhattan than to change climate. So are we trying to protect not exactly the most relevant things ?
@charactername263 - 2024-02-05
Researching the issue is difficult because google does not have relevant results for "Hot Models".
@chublez - 2024-02-05
Scholar dot Google
@ElMoto-gq3ho - 2024-02-06
Been looking at hot models all day 😏
@HarryWHill-GA - 2024-02-07
stop using Google.
@oilslick7010 - 2024-02-07
Hehe...
@ThadMiller1 - 2024-02-07
@@HarryWHill-GAHe wrote one yt 😅