Sabine Hossenfelder - 2024-01-27
Want to restore the planet's ecosystems and see your impact in monthly videos? The first 200 people to join Planet Wild with my code will get the first month for free at https://www.planetwild.com/sabinehossenfelder/turtles If you want to get to know them better first, check out their latest video: How 3 Dogs Saved 100,000 Turtles https://www.planetwild.com/sabinehossenfelder/11 In this video I explain what climate sensitivity is and why it is important. Climate sensitivity is a number that roughly speaking tells us how fast climate change will get worse. A few years ago, after various software improvements, a bunch of climate models began having a much higher climate sensitivity than previously. Climate scientists have come up with reasons for why to ignore this. I think it's a bad idea to ignore this. The quiz for this video is here: https://quizwithit.com/start_thequiz/1706049873020x576568516218191900 🤓 Check out our new quiz app ➜ http://quizwithit.com/ 💌 Support us on Donatebox ➜ https://donorbox.org/swtg 📝 Transcripts and written news on Substack ➜ https://sciencewtg.substack.com/ 👉 Transcript with links to references on Patreon ➜ https://www.patreon.com/Sabine 📩 Free weekly science newsletter ➜ https://sabinehossenfelder.com/newsletter/ 👂 Audio only podcast ➜ https://open.spotify.com/show/0MkNfXlKnMPEUMEeKQYmYC 🔗 Join this channel to get access to perks ➜ https://www.youtube.com/channel/UC1yNl2E66ZzKApQdRuTQ4tw/join 🖼️ On instagram ➜ https://www.instagram.com/sciencewtg/ #science #climate
Researching the issue is difficult because google does not have relevant results for "Hot Models".
Scholar dot Google
Been looking at hot models all day 😏
stop using Google.
Hehe...
@@HarryWHill-GAHe wrote one yt 😅
I think the psychology of the lack of interest is that people will not preoccupy themselves with issues they feel powerless, as individuals, to change.
That’s true, but our individual psyches are created in part by our culture and history. Our current world is not setup for cooperation and we’ve allowed selfishness to thrive. The prosocial beliefs and behaviors necessary to change things are possible for humans to adopt, but it starts at the root. Maybe there’s something to the idea of a Capitalocene rather than an Anthropocene. I don’t think this is an innate problem of the human psyche, but of the psyche of the very Europeans whose worldviews spread around the world starting around the 16th century.
In principle it is a good thing we have this reflex. Because starting to panic or being depressed does not help.
We evolved to concentrate on the present, getting enough food for the next winter, having enough wood to heat, finding a partner and so on.
The most depressive thing to me is, that there are many things we can do quickly. We can build green energy fast, there is no physical limit in that. The technology is ready to cut down emissions by maybe 80% today.
We could build millions of wind turbines, solar cells, battery storage etc. in the next 5 years and shut of most of fossil fuel. Only after that we would neet technology that is not yet developed.
But why are we not doing it? Because of economical reasons. Nobody is willing to out down the mony to do this in the paste required. Many people would need to change their job from fossil to green energy really fast.
Fossil assets like fossil plants would lose most of their value.
We just do little to late right now and future generations are going to hate us for that.
The obscene wealth of algorithm-customized distractions does not help either. 🎪
That's because way back when we invented human society, we slowly stopped seeing ourselves as connected and started seeing individuals as powerful and independent. A proper perspective would be considerably more altruistic and ironically we would've been better equipped to handle current changes if we'd all had pre-social mindsets that view the family (in this case meaning the extended families of humanity and life on earth) as more important than its individual children.
Because it doesn't really matter how powerless an individual is, you see; in groups, we have power, so if every individual serves the group, the group becomes nigh-invincible. That's how both disease and multicellular life, teams and hive minds alike find success. Humans technically serve their group, but we spend way more time on ourselves and don't bother acting in ways that would benefit everybody if everybody acted that way. There's no money in it.
@@langohr9613ify I actually believe that capitalism is able to adapt relatively quickly. Like Sabine said just make carbon emission more expensive and energy providers will flock to renewable and nuclear energy to make money. There just need to be political will, which comes from the people, to make this choice which will affect them via the form of higher prices on almost everything.
I really like this video, no sugarcoating. Being 64 years old I’ve been camping since I was a kid the last few years I’ve been using tarps not for rain but for creating shade over my tent and nearby to get away from the Sun bring the summer hottest time.
The lakes and rivers I swim in have also warmed up. There’s a big possibility they will be forest fires in the areas where I go camping sooner or later.
Maybe the heat just feels worse because youre old now? Have you considered that? I use to think the same thing but then I looked around and noticed the kids, like I use to be, are not bothered by the heat.
@@DissenterNet we're now recording historical record highs almost on a daily basis. must be because we're all older...
hey dude, its just the sun doing its job!
sun doing its job
@@DissenterNet I’m in college and greatly disappointed by the lack of snow days as I age. Because there’s no snow, most of our snow days are from icy road conditions that melt by the end of the day.
Climate change scares me not because I completely understand it, but because I understand PEOPLE.
It's inconvenient, and it's not economically friendly. These two factors practically guarantee that individuals and corporations will not properly address this new challenge.
Ironically, it may take complete societal collapse to save humanity.
Perhaps the insurance industry's 5:47 response to the increased risk caused by climate change will wake people up. Inability to get, or to afford, home insurance will cause real pain.
The worst thing for the future is that we successfully implement a solution. If we dodge harmful climate change, then 'proving the negative' to deniers becomes the key to having the trust necessary to effect the change needed to prevent the next calamity. And since you understand people, you understand this would be impossible.
Plus, it is hard to say which influence man-made geoengineering has on the climate if all measures that are being taken in that direction are kept top secret. This also makes the whole science around it somewhat malleable. We need complete disclosure on worldwide geoengineering activities.
What might safe humans ins the spread of continents, especially the Antarctica. We still live in a glacial period therefore and this will continue for centuries at least. Enough time for humans to adapt and live on in higher latitudes (likely in smaller numbers)
@@lindap.5120 they just won't have insurance...
It has been my observation that there are a lot of people that vote to save the planet but almost none that will do anything if it involves actual change in their lifestyle. Thus, if the models are actually correct, then the situation can only be resolved with calamity.
Unfortunately I'm afraid that might be corredt
No one is willing to accept real sacrifices to benefit strangers.
This is true, but never forget that, for true change, an honest effort by government and industry is essential.
They create markets and mass consent on a regular basis. They must do that in regard to the climate crisis...or we are in for a lot of trouble...
2023 had most Carbon reductions . carbon dioxide blocks heat both ways. The molecule is to dense to hold much energy
Our modern society,as an overreaction to the socially conscious movements, is so individualized only personal trouble seems to motivate (and then, only individual action for the most part)
I'm from central South Africa and over the course of the last 10 years we haven't been able to trust expected weather patterns. We're used to wet summers in the 30-35 (Celsius) range and it's been going into drought temperatures (40-45) with little to no rain for a long period and a sudden flood-causing burst every season. Our national average temp has also increased twice as fast as the global temperatures since the early 90's so the impact of this is a very tangible non-debatable issue here, especially in the agricultural sector.
Yes, it would hit your region faster and harder than certain other parts of the world. I live in Cleveland Ohio (USA) and our change is milder. This does allow for more people in my region to remain ignorant and blind to the science.
@@JosephKleppel Some parts of the US are very affected. Just think of the year-long drought and all the wildfires in California.
Maybe this is caused by the increased solar activity of the sun. We are near the end of an 11-year solar cycle. But nobody wants to say this as there's no money in it.
I'm from the Northern part of South Africa (pretoria)
I can honestly say that our weather patterns have not changed noticeably in the past 30 years (which is how far back I can remember)
45 year old from Johannesburg, can definitely say I’ve experienced a change in weather patterns over the years (anecdotal yes, but I count for at least one observer)
As someone who comes from the Equator zone and whose whole family lives there, I keep thinking about this all the time...
Well, you're actually lucky, because equatorial regions tend to remain the most stable. Non-equatorial tropical areas, as well as subtropical and temperate areas, will see the by far most destructive changes.
And the cool regions that have very short growing periods will explode with growth.... Making billions of acres of almost unusable farmland now usable for much longer, increasing world food production significantly.
@davi37005 stop you panicking over nonsense
As an American expat who has lived in a developing SE Asian nation for close to a decade, I hear you loud and clear. I'm fortunate that I have air conditioning, something many of my friends do without. I used to teach in schools with a few working fans. It was exhausting and humbling. When my 8th grade students looked wilted and too hot to learn anything, I knew I had to take frequent breaks and sit at the teacher's desk with the "teacher cooler" (a small desk fan) to keep from passing out.
I wish I could do more with what remaining time I have on Earth. FWIW, I no longer have a car or boat, like I had in America. I do have a 175cc motorbike, and I don't mind buying at most 3 liters of petrol a week at all! I'm quite sure I have dropped my transportation carbon output by a magnitude at least.
@@ebx100:
The thing is, in the equatorial tropics, with a true Köppen Af climate at least (like in e.g. the largest Indonesian islands and Malaysia), there's always the option of simply moving up to a higher altitude. Flooding could still be a problem, but you'd still have good and stable temperatures year round, and most likely persistent enough rainfall to be able to grow food all year.
If there's one thing I think people have gotten wrong about climate change, it's the idea that the tropics will suffer the most; I think when the famines set in worldwide, people will realize that the tropics remains one of the most stable zones to live in. It's no wonder we and all the other great apes evolved there for tens of millions of years.
The thing that I like most about this brilliant, humorous lady is that when she doesn't know something, she says so. That is a real scientist. Respect and thanks!
That is what scientists do. That is what they have to be pretty good at in order to Identity new research topics. If you have the feeling this isnt been done often enough i would probably change or at least check my source because typically this is a week spot of journalist, not the scientist.
Science lives off "don't know"'s. The whole point of a scientist it to ecxel in turning don't knows into knows. (The exact reverse of religion BTW, that exploit don't knows).
Journalist's tend to excel in misinterpreting science, trying to dumb it down for their readers, and screwing everything up in the process. Climate change is a great example of this, the term "global warming" is so soft and fluffy that it just hasn't got the real message over to the public. Messaging IS important, as any politician will agree.
Weird. What I noticed was hackneyed superficial banter.
Hi Sabine, I was really surprised by the dramatic forecast you gave at the end. I have seen in my life several major themes that would or should have ended or disrupted civilization. Overpopulation, global warming, thermonuclear war, ozone depletion and rising sea levels are but a few. Your forecast sounded so much like that type of talk. It has made me lose some confidence in you as a scientific commentator. I have a mathematics and physics background and have always enjoyed listening to your commentary on the physics fields. I have always felt you are an expert on physics matters. When you see that you get the most dislikes on your videos regarding climate change, I suspect the answer could be that you do not come across as such an expert on this topic. I disliked this video and did so because I felt it was the case. It is a sad outcome and something you should look into. It is likely I am not the only one who has formed this view. Anyhoo, I wish you a great day and will remain subscribed. Kindest regards, Tony
Sure?
“Unvaccinated are a danger to themselves and others. Of course, they should not have the same rights and freedoms as vaccinated people. Anyone who intentionally puts others in danger has to live with the consequences.”
Sabine 🤡 Hossenfelder - 2021
I live in the Phoenix area, dotted with the Sonoran Saguaro cactus - which have a lifespan of up to 200 years. We had record breaking heat last summer, with over 30 consecutive days with highs of 110+, and the nighttime air was too hot for them, they lost a ton of moisture during their air exchange period when they open their pores after sundown. I went on a hike last sunday and the McDowell Sonoran preserve was littered with the bones of fallen giants, Saguaros decades+ old that has died over the summer. I've never seen anything like it.
That's heartbreaking.
Why do all the elites buy sea front property if the ice caps are melting 😂😂 think about it
@mostlycloudy1738 they arnt thinking about 20 years from now. They are thinking "I want to live on the beach"
@@mostlycloudy1738 "Why do all the elites buy sea front property if the ice caps are melting 😂😂 think about it" There's nothing the think about--sea level rise is a terrible thing we have done to future generations--our emissions in the past and now have ripple effects for up to 150 years, but the serious effects won't happen for awhile for most places. Right now, sea level rise is only ~4.6 mm/yr, so there's no reason for elites to not buy beachfront property that sits 10 feet above the waves.
@@mostlycloudy1738 Using crying emojis in a smug way has to be a sing of very low IQ.
Thats not the "hot models" i was hyped for 😢
I needed a good laugh after watching this video. Thanks.
@@user-ki4ek9wn1l Yes b/c you clearly, a stranger online, know far better than a scientist how the world and systems work. And you know better than me, even though I studed economics at the doctoral level. But what do I know?
@@user-ki4ek9wn1l She obviously knows more about the topic than you. Here in Germany we are more aware about the problem. Island states or low lands like the Netherlands also... Just the ducking super powers think they can decide how ever they want... thanks for messing it up for everyone else.
@@opheliawild You're right, but your arguments are invalid. Being a scientist doesn't make her an expert in all scientific fields, and it turns out she did trigger a response from an actual climate scientist.
As for the economic doctorate level... well... only people who have studied economics think economy is a serious field of study :D !
if ppl dont know about the climate scam by now, they deserve to be robbed in taxes @@user-ki4ek9wn1l
I'm 50 years old now and I'm from Serbia, when I was a kid of about 10 years old outside temperature on New Year's Eve was about -15C and now for the last three years in the same time of the year is +15C and in summer time it was maximum 30C and now is 43C ... I'm nobody but I can tell this won't and well...
Bulgarian here, so obviously seeing similar changes. So much so that Sofia hasn't seen snow last few years. I remember as a kid there was at least one month in the winter where it would snow and the snow would stay.
Same in south Ukraine
Also from Serbia.. but I'm 20...
This scares me
I’m currently studying sustainable design Engineering. Everyone told me it’s not worth it, but listening to this video now I feel like I made the right decision.
it definItly is, keep it up!
You are doing a service, while things like going vegetarian/saving energy are good, this is a step toward large-scale change.
Within a capitalist society sustainability does not work eventually. Most people speaking of it just use it for marketing purposes. The idea is nice, but idealists are the people who end up getting abused by our society.
"Sustainable design engineering" done by humans will never be sustainable. You are marginally decreasing destruction, because your bosses will NOT PAY for actual sustainable development.
@@scepticalchymist ye you right so lets just keep rollin the way we used to till the great downfall of humanity
I live in Brazil. And in these models, there is still no room for unexpected effects that we don't yet know about. For example, for some time we did not know about the possibility of savannaization of the Amazon forest, nor about the aerial rivers that flow over the forest. And we still don't know if this phenomenon stops, what will happen to the climate on a global scale. We have many variables. And they all seem to point to the worst.
The amazon really is a huge part of the global ecosystem… it can't be allowed to die!!
@@acmhfmggru if u can't see the amazon dying you're willfully ignorant.
This is what scares me about climate change.. we have models, but unexpected things can crop up and obliterate assumptions we've made for decades. If the climate sensitivty assumption has been wrong all this time, then it's almost certainly too late to mitigate these effects in any meaningful way... apart from it might just be possible to keep at least part of the planet habitable. A crazy thought really
@@user-sw2eg9lg2tthe permafrost started melting in 2013, that was game over, we cannot refreeze it and it contains 1300 GT of carbon (more than double the amount we put into the atmosphere) and a shit of of methane too. So even if we stop CO2 output, today, cc is a self serving process now regardless of our actions.we are done, the question is just how fast.
@@meneedmorebrain Not sure that's the scientific consensus.. the fact is slower change allows more time for adaptation which means less disriuption to people's lives. More time also means better technology and science to know how to use ressources more effectively... imagine we had 50 years to fix this, could fusion would be a much more viable solution to depend on (still unwise, bet a lot less unwise than it'd be to depend on it as the situation is). The climate is never static, so surely the rate of change is on a scale of severity.. saying it's already over gives everyone permission to do nothing.
I'm 60 and have seen changes, one is the lack of flying insects, over 40 years ago, I'd return from a summer ride on my motorbike and would barely be able to see through the insect smeared visor, these days four or five insects over the whole visor.
You're probably thinking of the 1979 greenfly explosion. Like all these events, just one of those things that happens occasionally. Nothing to worry about. There is no man-made climate change.
Couldn’t be the huge increase in telecom masts & the 1000s 3:42 & 1000s of low orbiting telecom satellites.
There’s a rumour that insects, birds etc may be sensitive to emf environments
Even us!
& there has been a huge increase in the incidence of a once rare brain cancer glioblastoma as well as an increase in heart & brain conditions among young & middle age adults
& an explosion in dementia in older adults
Must be climate change!
Which explains the dramatic collapse in amphibian populations, in particular frogs and toads. I’m in my 60s too and have observed that the world of my youth and the world we live in now aren’t the same — and I don’t like it. I blame humans. We’re the cause of climate change and I have little faith in our willingness to address the crises that lies ahead. God help us…
I've been a truck driver for about 35 years and I've noticed the same. Vehicles used to be caked in bugs. There's a highway that goes through Toronto and 30 years ago I'd have to constantly clean my windscreen. Now, no matter where I drive there are hardly any insects. I emailed a Monarch researcher in Michigan mentioning that on my drives, on average, I would count between 70 to 90 Monarchs hitting my truck every day not counting the possible near hits or the ones I didn't see. During peak migration I've counted 120 to 140. She wasn't impressed which blew my mind. I don't hear bird song anymore, and this is the first year I haven't had any mice getting into my house. Things are bad
I'm also 60 and noticed this too. It's one of the scariest examples of baseline shift. Young people see this as normal and don't know how different and rich our world used to be.
In 1958, scientists in an observatory on Maui detected a pattern of temperature increase of the earth. In 1987 I studied at University and our professor said we‘ll all be driving small cars like the European models. But Americans chose to drive large trucks or SUVs. Americans chose to wait in drive thru coffee shops and not follow speed limits. Gasoline consumption increase and market price increases. Oil is a finite commodity.
Sabine, I've always enjoyed your no bullshit presentations and I respect this one. I live in a rural area in a temperate zone on a piece of property that has been in my family for almost 70 years. I have seen the landscape change from as long as a person can remember. I have seen the first frost which used to occur in September move to late November and the ice on the nearby pond go from thin, but lasting for the month of January to becoming a rare and short lived event. I have seen the vegetation and the animal life change, mostly the insect life. I have seen the yellow pines wiped out by infestations of pine beetles and have observed that the white pines that used to thrive in this area are now barely hanging on and mostly dying. Fir and spruce used to grow here but they are all gone and the ones that I have planted in the last few years never last long. I will be trying to plant long leaf pines soon just to see what they do, the northern edge of their range used to be a couple hundred miles to the south but I suspect they will do better now if they aren't wiped out by some new infestation of insects. Every spring brings a new species of insect. We've gone from having one species of tick that was just a nuisance in the summer to having seven species of ticks, some of which are active all year round. I could go on by I'll spare you and your viewers. Just saying, if I had never seen a news article on climate change, I would be wondering what the hell has been going on and would be asking the scientists about it. I'm not optimistic, but I am observant. Thanks for scaring the hell out of me. I'm 66 years old and my health is not great so I might not see the worst of the coming effects but my children and grand children will. Thanks for scaring the hell out of me.
We are in a pretty similar situation. My wife and I moved to southern NH 40+ years ago and have witnessed the changes that have occurred over that timeframe. Living in a rural area makes you acutely aware of how finely adjusted flora and fauna is to the micro- climate of the area.
I have a farm in New Zealand, ive been scared for a couple of years now. Winter, if we have one is 2 months later than it used to be and the sun is hotter than ever. I suspect we will have trouble growing traditional crops within a short time and that we will be too slow to change. The world wont miss us but i worry for my daughters lives.
I remember watching ice sailboat races on the rivers in New Jersey as a kid. The rivers don't freeze at all anymore
@@farmboypresents9977 - you are right to be worried. The younger generations are in for a world of hurt.😞
I just wanted to say, thank you so much for the warning for people with anxiety. Most creators would use that part of the video to really suck people in, and instead you encourage to stop watching. I have severe panic attacks about existential topics, and often I don't have the sense to stop consuming things that I know will stoke that in me. Having you advise to leave the video was so helpful.
My son taught me to embrace insufficient action. Look into it. It may seem like a waste but it really can help.
Also anxious, but I watched and I was gratified to hear someone state out loud every single painfully obvious result of climate change. So didn't make me more anxious made me feel...finally it's not me it's reality.
I agree, it was a strange kind of relief to just hear someone say it all. @@debrabarnhardt1103
That's what the left do, induce fear to more easily control the people.
What worries me most is that the Keeling curve doesn't show any change from its exponential growth the last 10 years. Only in 1991-1992 there was a tiny, tiny dip, arguably due to Mount Pinatubo eruption, or collapse of the Sovjet Union. So, CO2 reductions have not been registered...
Dec 3rd 1972
50 top scientists met at Brown University to write an open letter to Nixon to save us from the coming ice age by melting the arctic by covering it with soot.
Jan 5th 1978 NYT
International team of spspecialist finds no end in sight of 30 year cooling trend in noerthern hemisphere.
The same year a world Meteorologist meeting was held in Geneva to counter global cooling
China.
@@beskydyk And then wait for India and else
@@beskydyk China has increased his carbon emissions but also because most countries are externalising its production, which means that we're mostly buying things that were made there (and so polluted there). It's unfair to say that Europe is a "clean" region when that comes at the price of polluting in the other side of the globe.
I've been aware of this problem the majority of adult life. What I have witnessed is people doing everything they could to avoid thinking about or taking action. Nothing is going happen and things are going to crash.
People will do anything for their children and grandchildren except save them a planet to live on.
Don't be doomist.
If we don't fight, then it will happen, but if we at least try, there is a chance that we might avoid this catastrophe.
But what can an individual do?
Any amount of polution that a don't make realistic doesn't make any difference
I can vote to a echo friendly politician but one singular vote will never make a difference.
Literally, there's nothing that I can do and nothing that you can do that will actually help@@GodsRealPoo03
the fact that this video is only a day old and has over 14k comments already, with over half a million views, pretty much says it all. it doesn't matter what stance a body takes on the topic, it drives people to engage with the topic. i feel bad for whoever Sabine's community manager is (especially if it's herself) 'cause those comments are going to range from the rage cage murder threat comments to the supportive thanks for the information comments.
Climate change is real. Both sides can agree. The problem for me and alot of us is, WE are doing ALOT more than anyone else. And it gets used to push “The Green New Deal” ala AOC. Why don’t Greta and AOC go to China and get them to make changes? They want us to give them trillions of dollars for solar panels that they don’t bother to invest in themselves. They have more than quadrupled their emissions since 2000. They’ve built more coal power plants than the rest of the world combined last year… which they also managed to accomplish the year before that as well. We’ll build better sustainable housing and China will keep building ghost cities of skyscrapers. Dumping trash into the ocean. And creating so much air pollution that 2 million people die a year in their country from it.
The 1% know which videos to push, bc they're part of the agenda. I would question videos high in popularity, & not automatically think there's something valid in it.
@@NE0Nwhip I assume you dont get your head checked only because psychiatrists are also part of the agenda? :D
@@NE0Nwhipso I see you’re in the first camp huh
. Was the Garden of Eden supercharged with atmospheric CO2?
Fact... All human activity = only 4% of Global CO2 production today.
Volcanoes alone, are dumping more CO2 into the atmosphere in a matter of weeks than humans do in a year.
Fact... Colorless, odorless atmospheric CO2 is the exact opposite of air pollution, and actually stimulates healthy plant and animal growth..
Fact... During the Age of Dinosaurs, atmospheric CO2 was well over 5,000 ppm.
Fact... The 500,000,000 year average for atmospheric CO2 is well over 1,000 ppm.
Since the last Ice Age 12,000 years ago, atmospheric CO2 has doubled to 420 ppm.
. Can you see how far from "normal" CO2 levels we still are today?
. Stop feeling guilty about human activity creating CO2.
As long as the trends are towards a warmer climate, we all have to stop being afraid of our naturally changing climate over time, and enjoy the ride (my opinion).
Who disagrees with any of these facts?... Anyone?
All of these facts are easy to prove true, so, who/what is promoting Global Fear of Climate Change, and why are they doing it?
*Answer:... If you have not personally investigated the World Ecinomic Forum
Great Reset 2030 Agenda yet, now's the time.*
My anxiety is actually reduced by seeing people taking this seriously. Even though I've completely abandoned all hope, it's nice to not feel gaslighted about the problem :)
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Learn how to cook tofu, chia seeds in lemonade, bread, rice beans, low sodium plant-based and you will lower your carbon footprint.
Chia seeds are organic, have a complete protein and are 35% fiber for maintaining adequate moisture in the colon.
Weakling. Climate isn't spiraling out of control. Your mental health and rationality are.
If you desire information on climate history, please look at Tony Heller's work.
I hear you! It's madness hearing denial of facts in common conversations, especially about something as essential as our climate. Farmers have been worried for decades.
@@jaredkaye3669Thanks!
I'm Australian, spent the first half of my life growing fruit, 4th generation to do so. We started seeing measurable change in 1980s. Increased hail, higher temps burning fruit and higher minimum temperatures affecting fruit budding. The harvesting season has moved to earlier in year by about 3 weeks. Bush fire season can be up to 8 months or more now. Australia has always had extremes but now the extremes are extreme. As modelling and now reality shows we are one of the most affected countries with climate change. Already more sensitive crops are having to either move south or higher in altitude. This of course has limitations, especially altitude. Already a very dry continent with over use of irrigation growing the wrong crops the future doesn't fill me with delight. And that's not mentioning the affects on our ocean fisheries or our wonderful unique wildlife.
Also Australian, and have noticed the same. It is heart-breaking, and still we continue down the same stupid path.
Tomatoes here in Nz have become notoriously hard to grow because our UV levels atm are through the roof
😂😂 you don't "notice" climate change, it happens over time scales more vast than a humans life time or 2. What you are seeing is called the weather. Yes it can and does fluctuate. Its not global warming.
Weren't water rights in Australia also tradable like stocks?
The forecast depletion of 50% of the Globe's aquifers, by 2050, will force starvation and mass population migrations, decades before average temperatures are forecast to make the cultivation of the existing crops impossible, if there were only the goundwater. Places like Saudi have already banned the use of groundwater for agriculture, as for now they can sell oil to import food, and burn oil to desalinate water. Though Australia, China, Pakistan, India, Bangladesh, Iran, Turkey, Mexico, Spain, USA, ..., aren't is the same position, and have 4bn bodies dependent on pumping ground water.
In 2023 hurricane Otis went from a tropical storm to cat 5 hurricane in under 24 hours. More heat energy in the system. It’s very concerning
Yeah, lots of energy from the sun hitting the earth's upper atmosphere leads to more energy going to ground in tornadoes and hurricanes.
Same thing happened before. 2 huge solar flares knocked out some telecm in Asia & Africa. Then huge storms. Lying weasels blamed it on man made climate change.
Yep, rapid intensification of tropical cyclones, one of the hallmarks of rapidly increasing sea surface temperatures.
@@practicaliching2311:
The energy from the sun hitting Earth has actually decreased slightly over the past few decades; meanwhile global temperatures have been skyrocketing. It's not the energy from the sunlight itself that's the problem, it's the thicker blanket of GHGs trapping outgoing infrared radiation, causing global temperatures to increase.
And the same thing happened again this year with Milton…
For me, I'm tired of this topic not because I don't believe in it, but because knowing more about it actively makes my life more depressing and worse, while I can't really change my life in a way that solves this problem.
The climate has to change. It’s not a static thing. It can’t be static.
@@stormchaser9753 Look up dunning-kruger effect. Please try not to ignore facts.
@@stormchaser9753 What climate scientist have you seen saying that climate is static?
I’m tired of it specifically because I trust it, but because no matter how much more I learn about it, how much irrefutable evidence I see, I still know there are so plenty of potato brains in the world who prefer to live in denial, let propagandists tell them everything’s fine, and hinder efforts to do something about it.
I empathize with you, but I disagree that there's nothing you can do. You're right that you can't change your lifestyle to solve it because you're just one person. But what one person can do is stay engaged politically. Like it or not, politics is intrinsic to how we live our lives. It's literally us having a say in how things should be done.
Write to your reps, attend meetings, donate, sign petitions (or even make new ones), etc. There are plenty of ways to stay engaged and you're probably going to find one or two that work for you if you give it a try. (Forgive me if you already are - on the internet, context is hard)
As a layman, I appreciate your videos Doctor Hossenfelder, and the time and effort you and your team put into breaking down the most complex of topics into easily digestible bite-sized pieces. Thank you Doctor!
I think the best way for us layman to talk about climate change, it to be informed, but not use it as a tool, because we can't explain it as well as communicators.
instead, we should talk about climate change as a humanitarian crisis, its not whether or not, or who did it, but why aren't we helping people who are in need, especially when it'll damage us as well
I wonder if it has occurred to Sabine that companies and other vested interests might be using bots to mass downvote her climate videos? They only need to convince her that it’s an unpopular topic, if they hope to stop her from making them. At least that’s what they will be gambling on, if they hope to influence her at all? So, it won’t matter to them that others can’t see the numbers as you can.
I’m more afraid of gravity change. Since the widespread availability of backyard trampolines started in the late 60s the earth’s rotation has slowly been knocked out of kilter. It is now becoming critical, countless billions are being spent of so called ‘climate change” yet this more pressing pending disaster is largely ignored. I can solve this problem once and for all using strategically placed counter weights on springs at strategic gravity hotspots ( namely my backyard) and I can do all this for a cool 2.5 billion dollars. Don’t wait for the world to end with us all either shooting off into space of being crushed into the ground. Send your tax deductible donation to the “Harvest the gullible fools Institute”. We are also hiring the services of Santa Clause and the Easter Bunny to solve Climate Change. Santa is going to fly his slay around during his off season and the Easter Bunny will accompany him sprinkling the clouds with left over chocolate which has been finely powdered. This will stain the clouds brown and block the sun ending the dreaded warming that we are assured will one day cause sea levels to rise somehow. This can be done for the bargain price of 1.25 ! So what are you waiting for Send your tax deductible donation to the “Harvest the gullible fools Institute” NOW or they may be no tomorrow !
@@acasccseea4434 it isn’t a crisis when the historical average temperature is higher than the current. 150 years of data on a 4.5 billion year old planet isn’t enough data. Ice core samples say the average temp is higher in virtually all times. We are in a cold age right now and coming out of it.
@@UnlinkedCashews You're missing the point. Nobody is saying the climate is different to historical times, they are saying the climate is becoming different to what we need today for our survival. When you say the climate was this warm billions of years ago, remember that there weren't any humans alive back then either which is what everyone's concern is. If you don't consider the potential loss of your food supply as a crisis, perhaps you'll at least be concerned about having millions of refugees suddenly invading your country looking for food and a place to live.
I've noticed that whenever something troubling emerges, it always seems to the tip of a way bigger iceberg than we realized.
I agree, I think; (you've omitted a word or two, between "always" and "bigger".)
Thank you!
Because people keep burying their heads in the sand until it cannot be ignored.
The entire religion of global warming or climate change is based upon one fundamental misapprehension which, if you remove it, causes the entire theory or religion to collapse, and the fundamental misapprehension is that there either is or can be, any such thing as a Global temperature.
It is impossible to talk about a single temperature for something as complicated as the climate of Earth.
A temperature can be defined only for a homogeneous system. Furthermore, the climate is not governed by a single temperature. Rather, differences of temperatures drive the processes and create the storms, sea currents, thunder, etc. which make up the climate.
Planet Earth doesn’t have ‘a temperature’, one figure that says it all. There are oceans, landmasses, ice, the atmosphere, day and night, and seasons. Also, the temperature of Earth never gets to equilibrium: just as it’s starting to warm up on the sunny-side, the sun gets ‘turned off’; and just as it’s starting to cool down on the night-side, the sun gets ‘turned on’. The ‘temperature of Earth’ is therefore as much of a contrived statistic as the GDP of a country. (If the Earth was in equilibrium, that is, if it absorbed and re-emitted the Sun’s radiation perfectly, as a ‘blackbody’, then its rotation would be irrelevant, and the temperature would be a constant 6 ⁰C. Mocking up the effects of Earth’s albedo brings the ‘blackbody’ temperature down to -18 ⁰C, and including greenhouse warming brings it back up to around 15 ⁰C.)
‘The climate’ is difficult to define: is it a trend over one decade, century, or millennium? For what sized region is it defined ? Weather is very variable – how can we go from weather to climate? Furthermore, climate change on human timescales is a very small effect, and the empirical data needed for climate models have large ‘error’ bars.
If you cannot define what is changing, you cannot say it is changing; It is essential to understand that no man apprehend or experience the entire plant –the whole-thing all-at-once. You cannot even sense apprehend experience yourself - he-whole-thing, all-at-once, so how could you possibly experience something as gigantic as the planet on which you live, other than piecemeal and seriatim - little bit after little bit.
If you remove the fallacy that there either is or can be, any such thing as a “Global Temperature” , the entire edifice of climate change and/or global warming, collapses, because it is contingent on the idea that there can be , or is, a “ Global Temperature, which is a thermodynamic and mathematical
impossibility. While it is possible to treat temperature statistically locally, it is meaningless to talk about a global temperature for Earth. The Globe consists of a huge number of components which one cannot just add up and average. That would correspond to calculating the average phone number in the phone book. That is meaningless. Or talking about economics, it does make sense to compare the currency exchange rate of two countries, whereas there is no point in talking about an average 'global exchange rate'.
If temperature decreases at one point and it increases at another, the average will remain the same as before, but it will give rise to an entirely different thermodynamics and thus a different climate. If, for example, it is 10 degrees at one point and 40 degrees at another, the average is 25 degrees. But if instead there is 25 degrees both places, the average is still 25 degrees. These two cases would give rise to two entirely different types of climate, because in the former case one would have pressure differences and strong winds, while in the latter there would be no wind.
Or maybe you're hysterical. It's perfectly possible.
in the beginning it's only a tip of an iceberg, but we wait and let it grow. The problem is, that it is very hard to understand exponential growth and what it means in the later game. that won't change until we evolve.
it's depressing that the top comment here references 'the two extremes' as if people who want action on the climate are just as bad as those who deny climate change, especially after these people have apparently just watched this video...
50 years ago, hitting 100° was a big deal where I live. It rarely happened. Last summer we hit 100° for 30 days straight. We suffered drought and farmers lost crops. It's been really hot for about a decade now.
It’s crazy
Where I live, in SE PA, USA, it feels like the opposite. This is anecdotal, but I’d say summers tend to be cooler and wetter than they used to. But winters are way warmer. Snow is becoming rare.
@chmd22 NJ here. Snow is far from rare. We haven't been slammed in a few years, mid-90s and late 2000's were the last time I remember blizzards that dropped several feet of snow. In the mid 2010's we had those "polar vortexes" those winters were brutally cold. The last few winters have been relatively mild.
It's a natural occurrence. Ever hear of the dust bowl? Nature does stuff. The sun, the earth, the sky... Everything is in flux. It always has been.
A few years ago in July or so, it snowed in both hemispheres. When it snows in summer in North America--that's climate change.
The recorded temperature history is too short a time to be considered entirely useful in climate determinations such as what is "natural" variability?
CO-2 is plant food, so what do they do? Biofuels--cut down and burn forests. When normally green trees would absorb and thereby sink carbon from the atmosphere, idiots are paid to destroy forests--that makes no sense. Who paid them?
Where I am a few years ago they had the coldest day on record in over a century, but that lasted only a day or so, and then the temperature went back up high again.
Naysayers. They always seem to be wrong.
What is to say that Dr. Helmut Fluhrer's precipitation-influencing ionic atmospheric layer devices have not been deployed and used to promote globalism? In 2010 his company was known as Metro Systems and his company made artificial rainstorms in Abu Dhabi UAE for about 50 of 60 days when normally there is no precipitation at all.
Now his company is named Weathertec. Born in Germany, and living in Switzerland, Fluhrer's critics are naysayers who base their criticisms on absolutely nothing. That's like saying that there is no causal link between smoking cigarettes and lung cancer--also known as tobacco science.
Thick rainstorm clouds in the daytime cast very dark shadows that block the sun's rays from reaching the surface and heating it. What if clouds at nighttime were eliminated to let surface-level heat disperse into outer space. What is the capacity of outer space to dissipate such radiation? Thereby, any daytime accumulated heat can be cast into outer space by clearing the skies at night.
The ionic polarization of the atmosphere can be altered by throwing a polarity switch on such atmospheric layer ionization machines.
Wikipedia used to have a citation of Metro Systems weather modification experiments of 2010. The article had the information excized. Who would have that be done? Hmmm?
reference: business journal artificial rainstorms abu dhabi uae
In this case, climate change can be compelled by the constant operation of such equipment to whatever purpose is desired--heating or cooling. Energy saving or energy-wasting on heating or cooling.
The people with huge amounts of money pay hired goons to enforce their will on the rest of us. Some guy invents a 100 mpg v-8 carburetor in the 1920s. What happens? Lead is added to gas as an anti-knock agent that just happens to clog such carburetor designs--coincidence--I think NOT! Some video on YouTube explains that the addition of lead to gas ended up killing a lot of people with this additive. Lead and other heavy metals are known causes of brain damage.
Experiments were done with WW1 battleship hull painters to get rid of their lead poisoning. Those who had heart conditions said that the treatment made their heart condition disappear. Later that treatment was banned so that heart surgeons would not lose any business. Fake studies were done to pooh-pooh the entire finding. Science is for sale--a corrupt business you could find anywhere in our corrupted world where love of money motivates the masses to do immoral things that damage themselves and their loved ones. Seems that the rich want to get richer and lord over the rest of us. Some schemes should be invented, not Marxism, that counteracts the evils of Marxism such as central banking and control of financial systems by constantly changing monetary policies and encouraging people not to work by giving more people handouts whenever they vote for them.
How to undo corruption? Advanced lie detection systems, truth serums, and a list of pointed questions to unearth corruption and its network of influencers and financial supporters. Punish the guilty rather than the innocent.
I'm Colombian and in the particular area where i live, it hasn't rain in like 2 months and counting. Water is running out, Heat is reaching peak highs, i know it because i work construction and the sun it's unbearable compared to previous years. Mind you the place i live has abundant water, but two to three months without a single drop of water dries anything including crops plus the wildfire crisis. Farmers are concerned, everyone is.😢
i live in south brazil... the cut down of amazon forest changed the rains here too... now the rains that should go to colombia and other western latam countries go to here... and a lot of floods are happening
@@fete0 It's really problematic how drastic it can be, most people here don't even own a car or heavy industry. Somehow we get affected 😔.
It's called HAARP.
climate is variable and there are 10 20 50 100 200 1000 years cycle
There is no increase in droughts, storms, fires or extreme weather damages. The biosphere is greening, habitable lands expanding.
Ty for science truth. Texas weather patterns are changing from my 50 years of observing. Even dad a chem engineer, saw it in the 1970s. Keep teaching for our future children, a few are listening. Truth is never dishonorable, TY.
Were supposed to have a foot of snow and 10 degree temps up here in Minnesota but its getting up to the 50s for over week straight.
It’s so noticeable in the middle as well. In Ky we went from regular several inches of snow all winter even a decade ago, remember when 21• was noteworthy. Now it’s rain and 20sto 50s all winter with a few dry arctic blasts at near zero. My oldest kids played in the snow regularly and their younger brother barely remembers. The plants have been so confused earlier and earlier.
My husband wants to move south for the weather and I’m saying the south is coming to us!
Scotland is seeing temps over 19C. Should be under 10C.
When I moved to the UK, over 35years ago, it was normal to get 30cm of snow (that's in Yorkshire). Now, it is surprising if we get 2, 3 cm.
yeah, 50 years in millions, and YOU "know" climate is changing and the world will end in fire or ice or whatever is the panic hype of the moment.
As a meteorologist specializing in severe weather (tornadoes) & applied mech. engineering 35 yrs, I'll weigh in on this subject - climate science is much more complicated than what this video mentions as climate stressors - and, there is a lot of good news regarding advancements in the App.M.E. fields (transportation, energy generation) that are game-changers just by themselves - the research is global in scale, lots of teams are involved - I know it's easy to get discouraged at the size of our climate problems, but it's more important to work on solutions - an opportunity to create a better, cleaner tomorrow - there's too much at stake to ignore or postpone any longer - change is happening now -
Totally delusional. There's hardly any change happening now. GHG emissions continue at extreme rates, global temperatures keep skyrocketing, extreme weather is getting worse, ecosystems are collapsing worldwide, and on top of that humans are also actively continuing to decimate high-biomass old-growth forests and pretending like planting grass and bushes is offsetting it. Humans are a doomed species; we're apparently just far too stupid to overcome even something as simple as the tragedy of the commons.
Sabine, Never apologise for making hard truth videos, you are an inspiration to all of youtube
Yes, never apologize for all the stone age people driving suv's that caused the earth's glaciers to recede , twice. Yes, its a hard truth that climate change didnt exist until humans came along. I mean just ask a dinosaur. Oh, wait..climate change a million years before man killed them before man created climate change.
When she starts making them, let us know.
Here isnt a shred of truth in this entire video.
Thats because neither of you know how to evaluate "truth" of reality. All you're doing is announcing your scientific illiteracy
@@wolfgangdali1036 unlike you basically anouncing nothing 🤣🤣🤣
The thing that worries me is that every IPCC report includes a phrase to the effect of "things are accelerating faster than previously supposed". If we keep adjusting the model to accommodate "faster than supposed" growth, and the next year comes out even more faster than supposed, I dunno, seems like a problem.
This is only true if you look at recent years. There was an entire decade(2005-2015) where the global average temperature didn’t move much at all and the predictions were much worse than reality. They’re quick to say that THAT was an outlier decade, but when we have a massive unusual global heatwave of a summer in 2023, which is the definition of an outlier, they will say that’s indicative of an accelerating temperature change. It’s not. There’s not enough data yet so it, by definition, is an outlier & just a weirdly hot year, which more aligns with the solar cycle than anything else.
They fake the data. They are constantly "adjusting" past temperatures based on a number of excuses to make them cooler. They claim stuff like temperature gauges weren't accurate enough etc, and then adjust the data to the numbers that meet their agenda.
Then their models are constantly wrong. And as the saying goes, if the predictions are wrong, it's because the hypothesis was incorrect. That's how real science works.
They also assume that heat exchange with the interior of the Earth can't change on the order of a human life span while there is no measurement to support that since most of the Earth's surface is covered in water and we know more about Mars than we do about the Ocean floor.
The model isn't causing the warming. Even if we adjust model to accommodate faster warming (not really how it works), there's no causal loop that that then makes Earth warm even faster. Just means we keep under estimating it.
@@mirfjc Oh, thank goodness this poster was around to inform us that observational data doesn't cause the observational data that is observed when taking observational data.
"The problem is that we can't agree to implement the solutions we have." Loud standing ovation here.
Yep. And it's so. Fucking. Aggravating.
@@keiganblaise9878 what is aggravating? You have no idea how complex these things are! No idea whatsoever! What's actually aggravating is the shallow interpretations of people who think they understand such complex scientific domains and the extend of consequences of the offered solutions.
Video Tittle: Let them slave us with carbon taxes ASAP!!!!
@@C_R_O_M________what exactly is you alternative? Keep debating until there is 100% proof and evidence for exactly how some process is happening? Which by the way has pretty much never been reached in science, and is not the purpose of science.
So, what's you suggestion, just go on as usual not changing anything based on the understanding we now have, because it is too "complex"?
This woman is part of the problem. A smart person whoknows numbers is given a large set of fake numbers and is also given a reason for the fake numbers. Not knowing the area at all she is duped into thinking there is a problem.
Even many smart people dont know how to think for themselves.
Near where we live in SW Colombia, there's a volcano (Puracé). It's not particularly high - perhaps 15,000 feet - but in the old postcards and photos, it was always covered in snow.
I first came here nine years ago and - even with binoculars - l've never seen so much as a single snowflake, let alone drifts and snowfields on the ground.
The other thing is taxi drivers and other locals will tell you how much warmer the town is (it's called Popayán) these past few years.
In the last nine years, there has been a marked increase in mosquitos (and the sickness they carry, called dengue)
Never stop talking about it, and don't apologise, Sabine. It's one of the most important subjects of modern times.
No it isn't
"Never stop talking about it, and don't apologise"
Show some FAITH! Believe!
@@paddleed6176 Just curious. How old are you and where do you live? I'm 54. Cochabamba, Bolivia.
Suggestiin: look up #JHAT, Just Have A Think.
@@thomasmaughan4798 Or, you know, do what Sabine does and show some evidence. That thing the Abrahamic religions never do for the supernatural.
These guys will deny any evidence shown to them but they'll wholeheartedly believe in supernatural beings without any evidence 😂
My home in the south of India used to have really cool and pleasant winters. ❄️
I remember my childhood days snuggling under a thick blanket and telling stories to my younger sister.
Or the cool nights in December, waiting for the Christmas carol to come to our home and sing for us 🎄🎅
Now, just 20 years later, there is no coolness left. Winters are sweltering hot.
The only luck we have is the monsoon during the peak summer months, which cools us down.
But this is not the case for our neighboring states, and frankly, I am afraid how long even the monsoons will last because they have become very unpredictable.
Yes, our country isn't doing the best right now, but we are picking ourselves up after 2 centuries of colonialism.
There are a multitude of social issues that makes people, especially women want to migrate west. But good changes are happening.
I am wishing with all my heart that people and all governments take this matter of climate change seriously, provide solutions and bring about results.
Our state, Kerala, is beautiful. We want to live here. It is home 🏡
Yeah, it's the colonialism that holds you back. Wow.
@AA-yc8yr What you say is true.
What holds us back is the lack of money and resources, which oddly started somewhere around the 1800s. 🤔
Most of us hold no grudges, the past is past.
We are bettering us in the best way possible with the given situation, and we will continue to do so. Indians are tough that way.
Religion and politics may be slowing our progress, but most major countries have gone through that at one point in time.
All the Western countries seem to have come out of it, somewhat unharmed ✝️⚔️🛡
We are holding out hope too, for a better tomorrow.
@@AA-yc8yr he/she didn't say that
@@ra7e Oh, I see. All those 'resources' vanished, with 19c. tech no less, and India became a barren, resource-less place, did it? And same for the 'money', which of course is precisely why India ranks 5th richest country in the world nowadays, ahead of the UK, and - let me think - 70 years after independence? That's mirculous, no? Having been left resourceless and pennyless, it's now one of the richest, even if it hasn't developed that much socially. Peculiar that all former British colonies do better economically than other countries' former colonies, as well as many states that we never colonised. It's almost as if there's a common denominator for doing that well. But then, also, one can only wonder if a) India would have even existed its current state, and size, had it not been for colonisation, given as it was a 100 or so little kindgoms at the time of British invasion; and b) even if it had managed to unify - and do so non-violently, no less (I mean, one needs only. go back to the 50s and the Hindu-Muslim pogroms, after all, to test the 'non-violence' hypothesis) - what it would have looked like, e.g., would it have been a democracy? 'cause, there really is little by way of example in the whole region to suggest natural propensity for equality and human development, unless it was brought in from outside. And before you show off your hypocricy yet again on the subject of equality, given your colonial history, do consider that nowadays India is considered among the most racist countries worldwide - far more racist that its coloniser, and the country with the highest number of modern slaves. I doubt you can give that to colonialism, or 'stolen' resources and money, when the country that colonised yours is nowhere near as racist, for example, and was the first country in human history to outlaw slavery.
@@cmonofficial Yes, they did. I hate to point it out, but you clearly cannot read with understanding.
I feel for you, Sabine. I realized all this over a dozen years ago, after a brief stint working in the ecological services department that did consulting work for the fossil fuel industry. The changes I was seeing in the field indicated a higher climate sensitivity than that was accepted by scientist. No one would listen, and certainly not the client. Furthermore, I realized the change was accelerating in the late 90s, but silly me, I assumed that since the outcome was so horrific, the government must surely be working it. After all, their sr. scientists knew about it too. But that was a bad assumption on my part. Don't make the same mistake.
. Was the Garden of Eden supercharged with atmospheric CO2?
Fact... All human activity = only 4% of Global CO2 production today.
Volcanoes alone, are dumping more CO2 into the atmosphere in a matter of weeks than humans do in a year.
Fact... Colorless, odorless atmospheric CO2 is the exact opposite of air pollution, and actually stimulates healthy plant and animal growth..
Fact... The 500,000,000 year average for atmospheric CO2 is well over 1,000 ppm.
Fact... During the Age of Dinosaurs, atmospheric CO2 was well over 5,000 ppm.
Since the last Ice Age 12,000 years ago, atmospheric CO2 has doubled to 420 ppm.
. Can you see how far from "normal" CO2 levels we still are today?
. Stop feeling guilty about human activity creating CO2.
As long as the trends are towards a warmer climate, we all have to stop being afraid of our naturally changing climate over time, adapt, and enjoy the ride (my opinion).
Who disagrees with any of these facts?... Anyone?
All of these facts are easy to prove true, so, who/what is promoting Global Fear of Climate Change, and why are they doing it?
Answer:... If you have not personally investigated the World Ecinomic Forum Great Reset 2030 Agenda yet, now's the time.
I had a conversation with a neighbor about climate recently, having read Hanson et al. a decade ago and the recent paper, and he said something similar about governments working on solutions. He mentioned a number of programs and referred to the U.N.’s initiatives. He felt that there had to be plans in place to cope. Four years ago I might have nodded along with him, but we are all a little wiser now about the ability of governments to deal with serious, global problems. I said, “You mean like how the world handled COVID?” To his credit he just looked down at his feet and said, “Well, $&#€!”
@@ColdHawk If the World Economic Forum Great Reset Agenda impact on Liberal government policy is not part of the Foreign Interference Public Inquiry, it's only another deliberate distraction from the real threat we must deal with. Anyone that disagrees, has not personally investigated what the mainstream media is deliberately not telling us. Can we all agree on that?
How about this...
. Was the Garden of Eden supercharged with atmospheric CO2?
Fact... All human activity = only 4% of Global CO2 production today.
Volcanoes alone, are dumping more CO2 into the atmosphere in a matter of weeks than humans do in a year.
Fact... Colorless, odorless atmospheric CO2 is the exact opposite of air pollution, and actually stimulates healthy plant and animal growth..
Fact... During the Age of Dinosaurs, atmospheric CO2 was well over 5,000 ppm.
Fact... The 500,000,000 year average for atmospheric CO2 is well over 1,000 ppm.
Since the last Ice Age 12,000 years ago, atmospheric CO2 has doubled to 420 ppm.
. Can you see how far from "normal" CO2 levels we still are today?
. Stop feeling guilty about human activity creating CO2.
As long as the trends are towards a warmer climate, we all have to stop being afraid of our naturally changing climate over time, and enjoy the ride (my opinion).
Who disagrees with any of these facts?... Anyone?
Well governemts alone can't solve the problem, jet alone one. They can only translate a fixed solution in required laws. At that point you still need "a industry" that enables all people to follow up on those laws.
So targetting the oil industry was a good call, even if it didn't had the effect you hoped for.
I work in automotive and it's a tough call to find a compromise between what the customer wants, what the government wants, what we can actually do and what the environment requires.
From what i can tell your client was listening. Fuel, lubricants and plastic are partners with rather bigger departsments in that area.
Sadly not all of them succed. Michelin is closing doors for PKW tires, because the customer preferes the putative cheaper option that is not living up to their standard.
The best thing for us would be if the customer would value the environmental quality in money, so i actually have a budget to do something. Second best bet is the government requires it for every competitor, so it's not a huge risk for us to take.
@@ColdHawk - Covid was a real turning point for me. Before that I thought we were capable of working together towards common goals. Now I know that was a naïve assumption to make.
One consequence that wasn't even touched upon was the geologic changes and disasters that will happen far inland from the leading edges of the rising water as the landscape of our planet changes. The changing sea levels along with shifting weather patterns will change where Earthquakes and landslides occur, in areas not engineered to withstand them. We will see tornadoes, hurricanes blizzards and extreme heat waves in areas unprepared to deal with them. It is a terrifying future to contemplate in my opinion.
13:16
Hearing you curse is such a weird surprise. I felt that frustration
All else aside, it kind of turns me on when she swears. 😍
It's very hard to feel anyone is serious when we aren't switching to nuclear power. Especially if China and India don't switch first. We share 1 atmosphere.
@@jr7853nuclear power isn't a panacea. It isn't going to cleanse the environment of micro plastics andnforever chemicals, it isn't going to reverse the greenhouse gas feedback loop, it isn't going to regrow the forests, it isn't going to restock global fisheries. Nuclear power is a piece of the puzzle, and only a piece that's meant to replace the fuel that our civilization runs on not ensure it's sustainability, even though it is less of a carbon footprint I believe it would only keep the status quo, i.e. capitalism.
@@jr7853 : Who is "anyone" in that scenario? The public doesn't decide these things. The people who want nuclear have to get investors and they tend to be big money losers. China invests more in nuclear and renewables than any other country. India is still a distant 3rd to the US in carbon emissions.
you know what? too late: "experts" have been telling us the end of the world is near for at least 50 years. I don't blame anyone for not believing "scientists"
A common theme in my area is that homeowners are cutting down trees in their yards because they literally don't think the cooling effect of blocking the sun from their windows/houses is worth the cost of paying an arborist to maintain the tree (or doing it themselves). They would rather pay daily (in the USA) on cooling the air in their homes instead of a once a year pruning. I looked at my old neighborhood and why the trees were planted where they were during construction and they were specifically planted to block sunshine during the hottest part of the day. Huge maple trees cut down because the homeowner, "didn't want a tree in their front yard." Buddy it is in between your windows and the sun during the summer. Not to get too far into the cooling effect trees have by blocking some of the sun's rays and preventing ground heat absorption but it is a measurable phenomena. In addition, most "poor" neighborhoods have less vegetation and tree coverage and higher avg. surface/ambient area temps than ones with coverage. Now expand this to a global theme of "destruction of the environment" and you will find it is one of the "factors" that increase global temps. I think the "carbon emissions" argument is a big single contributor to one of the myriad of reason that the temps have increased year over year. Destruction of trees (small and large scale), more methane producing regions (destruction of trees for farmland), increasing population needing an increase of resources/land, vehicle emissions, industrial emissions, poor city planning (zoning) that doesn't incorporate neighborhood climate as part of the model, increasing forest fires, reliance on foods that produce pollution instead of alternatives, and political lobbyist/politicians that bring up a net "-.2 temp change or no change" as an argument against passing laws that substantially impacts peoples lives for climate change (EVs vs Petrol). As if these changes would be immediate or have a giant effect if it was just one of the multi-factor puzzle. No increase?! That is amazing compared the ever increasing temps. Minus 0.2C over 50 years?! Also stupendous vs a projected +2.0C increase over the next 100 years (at current rates). I mean, climate change prevention is not a single issue solution. I think people nowadays have been programmed to think one big problem must have one big factor that we can fix and that will negate any other contributors. Fundamentally, people do not want to "do the work" that it would take to prevent the sort equatorial inhabitation. I can see in a one or two hundred years the zones being off limits or uninhabitable and no chance of seeing the Taj Mahal or the Pyramids. To say nothing of the near total destruction of the Brazilian rainforests to probably 10% of the current area. I retired to the same place as where I grew up and I can tell you that it is significantly hotter now than it was then. You know what pictures don't show? How the temperature feels if you were standing there in the picture. Imagine having a gallery of pictures from different time periods inside of temperature controlled rooms. Where could stroll between them with the ever increasing temperatures until now. Then one that jumps to 2075's projected "hottest day on record" and you can only manage a couple minutes before it becomes unbearable/dangerous.
Very insightful comment. I just want to say that last idea of an art exhibition is extremely good! If you have any passion/motivation to make that a reality, I highly encourage you.
Yes the loss of forests and tree cover in general is a huge problem with a huge role in climate feedbacks given how plants have evolved to modify the climate.
Since it doesn't get nearly enough attention one other major component in terms of the landscaping problems are the most of the so called "arborists" in the US being unqualified and focusing on immediate aesthetics rather than accounting for how the plants will respond to the damage which is one of the main reasons so much "trimming" is needed in the first place. There are multiple reasons for this one landscapers are primarily paid based on the hours they work and the contracts for the companies are largely based on the amount of grass they cut or the amount of trees they trim etc. so there is an economic incentive to do the job poorly as that means they get to come out more frequently than they otherwise would have had to. Additionally the schooling and certifications are expensive and would allow workers to have more bargaining rights for higher pay so instead its cheaper to use unqualified immigrant labor who are afraid of complaining about illegal wage theft (that is the abuse of the independent contractor and part time labels to avoid paying the legal benefits and minimum wage required for full time employment etc.) because they are afraid of being deported due to being in the US illegally. Lets not forget how poorly maintained their equipment is with trimmers and pruning in general being a major vector for accelerating plant disease transmission and then the vast amount of fossil fuel derived resources and labor that are needed to maintain lawns, a practice which in its current form was largely developed as a marketing ploy by the chemical industry looking for a new postwar market with most of the chemicals used in lawncare in the US being banned elsewhere in the developed world for the strong links to diseases like cancer. And they tend to prune entre branches off at the base of the trunk which is I have learned a professional no no since that exposes the dense dead structural heartwood core to the environment allowing heartwood rot to commence which is a major factor behind why city trees are so prone to collapsing on houses cars and people. If you want to prune plants properly you need to remove unwanted branches early before they can develop a large woody core. There is also the who problem of lopping off lower branches to maintain that "lollypop shape" as that makes trees top heavy and thus much more prone to getting torn down in a storm which combined with heartwood rot due to bad pruning practices means
The lawn and the manicured gardens were originally developed as a status symbol by the European nobility/aristocracy in order to show off to one another how much wealth they had that they could afford to not only leave land fallow but afford to splurge on servant labor to keep the land in what they deemed to be an aesthetically pleasing unnatural state. In the US like other British colonies this was later adopted heavily by the slave plantation culture which was what led to its adoption being a core part of the white flight movement that was the American Suburbia with the marketing efforts of the chemical industry teaming up with the long dominant white supremacists sympathizers. I should note that other aristocracies/nobilities have developed similar fallow land status symbol habits before such as in ancient china the same requirements of constant disturbance maintained through excessive employment of servant/slave labor. It all comes down to showing off wealth and power through frivolous waste a favorite of the rich and powerful since probably forever.
So much area here in the US is needlessly maintained as manicured desolate lawns which denies the land from functioning as part of the most powerful known reservoir of carbon sequestration the soil. We also can't forget ground compactification which current land development practices have become significantly worse at compared to the 1950's with the soil infiltration rate of modern lawns being no more than 0.013 inches per hour compared to around half an inch per hour of older 1950's era construction. Lawn grasses lack the extensive root systems of natural or wild grasses and thus are unable to break up the compacted soils thus the water infiltration rate is little better than concrete.
And lets not forget leaf blowers especially the gas powered kind which in 30 minutes of use releases as much carbon dioxide as a car at 30 mph traveling 440 miles and also release a large amount of unburned particulate organic material from their exhaust which compounds with the amount of scoured soil particulates their use exhumes from the ground to cause an amount of air particulate pollution corresponding to around 80 cars do within in a year of regular use. Really this is true of any gas powered consumer appliance since they are largely unregulated in their emissions within the US.
Fun fact did you know that 80% of the trophic energy transport to higher levels of the food web within a temperate forest comes from the leaf litter? That compounded with trees pumping generally around half of the carbon they fix underground to feed the symbiotic microbes in the soil they depend on means that forests are major sinks. That factored in by the cooling effects of evapotranspiration and infrared reflection means that plants not only cool things down but sequester considerable carbon beyond what grass is capable of if left undisturbed.
Lawns are anything but undisturbed requiring high continuous soil disturbance to exist/persist meaning they are a continuous carbon source.
@@Dragrath1Lots of good points in your comment. However, please be careful repeating “facts” that are internet memes, not truth. For instance, your leaf blower emissions comment is someone’s deliberate distortion of the facts. Leaf blowers which are 2 stroke may emit some specific chemical compound at that rate, when compared with a catalytic converter equipped car, but overall emissions - especially CO2 emissions - are linearly related to the amount of fuel consumed - that’d be a heck of a leaf blower that consumed as much gas as a car going 440 miles 😁. Probably blow both the leaves and your house into the next block.😁
The art gallery is a great idea. Imagine it at a local level whereby the heat changes are equivalent to the location of the gallery. If you're in Europe you can feel the temperature of what it was like 5 years ago with visuals of the surrounding landscape vs now, vs 2.5 degrees, vs 3, vs 4, the landscape changing in line with the temperature rise. Galleries replicated in every country or region.
@@kerrenomalley7432 Even better. Perfect art show gallery experience. Or even maybe one of those globe 360 degree theaters showing the landscape and the temperature changing as the visuals change. Have you ever been to one of those theaters? I saw one in a museum as an underwater experience. It was mind blowing!
Unusually emotional video from Sabine. She does a great job at breaking this very complex topic down for us "normies" to really understand it and its implications. Of course it is easier to just ignore everything and to hope it goes away, and this is exactly what I fear will happen. The future is going to be interesting for sure.
Reminds me a bit of the movie don't look up.
There is no way humanity will solve this problem. We are lazy and callous species that had a growth spurt and biosphere reaching new equilibrium will wipe away many of us. Like a dog shakes off water.
Humanity's perception of change has a low limit relative to the speed of change. Climate change is an intergenerational change too slow to be perceived by the humanity as a whole.
The problem is the cure is worse than the symptom for human life. And that's on purpose by the way, cuz politicians don't care about climate change. They care about power gained by pushing climate change. Otherwise they'd solve it with nuclear power plants.
DR RICHARD LINDZEN ON YOUTUBE ALSO
Looks like we’re headed for another record year for 2024. Very disturbing
Its been fantastic here. Coolest summer in a decade or more. Delightful weather!
@@DissenterNet weather and climate are two different things. How’s the climate where you are ?
13:13 its mind blowing how few people know about Ocean Acidification causing a repeat of the Permian Mass Extinction pattern of destroying the phytoplankton that makes 70% of the oxygen we breathe!
how many know about glaciations mechanics? including Gobi desert, I bet not even you
So you believe in things you've never yourself verified because you feel it's right? Congratulations it's a religion
There are natural buffers that prevent extreme drops in PH.
The Coral Reefs are only growing.
Nonsense. Additional CO2 is absorbed by plankton just as excess CO2 is breathed in to make chlorophyl by land-bases plants.
I retired in 1993 to Washington near Puget Sound, 47.1854° N. As a lay person attentive to the natural world (climate) I had encountered in my life up to then, I figured Washington State would have the weather of San Francisco in 50 years. Robins leave the area for the winter. It heralds spring when they return. I saw my first Robin on 25 January 2024. In 1993 it was March before I saw any. There are buds on the bush in the yard. I have been studying my yard and things are changing.
I'm in victoria BC just north and i was shocked to see the Robin's so early as well.
DR RICHARD LINDZEN? YOUTUBE I LOOK FOR AT LEAST 2 OPINIONS DR LINDZEN HAS BEEN IN CLIMATE OVER 40 YRS AND STATES WHAT THIS IS IS POLITICS
I am in Oregon, here for 20 years. Oregon weather is very close to what northern CA used to be in the seventies, and northern CA appears to be drying and warming. And yes, the robins are here all year long now.
Lindzen gets money from the coal industry. You have to know who you are getting your information from these days. @@PeachesCourage
Oh darn. There's more life in your yard. How terrible, the world might end that you saw a sparrow in January.
Locally in urban western Australia, our heatwaves last longer and night time temperatures are barely dropping under 26°c. I've noticed that many urban ecosystems are being damaged and don't get much time to heal before the next extreme
I visited Mt Cook recently and the guide was explained that the glaciers have been receding over many decades. It may be anecdotal but all the anecdotes are saying the same thing.
@marble4533 No you are wrong, please check the records back as far as it goes. We have had periods of years where the temperatures were just as hot, and seasons where it got colder, check out 1979 temps for the 7 month period Sept to March. People are missing the HISTORY, not going on computer generated climate models
@@Quadrant14 it’s the concrete heat traps radiating heat through the night that is throwing off the statistics, in addition to the base scale for presentations being set between the small ice age and long winter anomalies as a sandbag.
@@Quadrant14 blah, blah, blah,
Living in Wanneroo, West Aus I would agree. This year we had a fire in Autumn that was suburban for the first time ever. Usually it's just rural... Now it's burning down homes in the suburbs
Surprisingly, I actually agree with all of your solutions.
I live in Northern Europe and love my local forest. Last summer which was unusually long, dry and hot I've found out that one of my favourite spots in the forest that also had some very rare plants was being quickly destroyed by bark beetles. It was like a warzone! Huge old spruce trees were dying quickly, falling and the sound of the beetles chewing on the bark was eerie. I literally cried in shock. They were always there but never in such quanitites and destroying the forest so quickly! It came to my mind that sooner or later our forest may be completely gone if this continues. I don't know what I'm gonna do if it happens. The forest has been my best friend, therapist and also a provider of nutrient-rich food. It will be so stressful to see it dying that i may have to move elsewhere. I believe, the bark beetles propagated due to the favourable conditions, like the extremely dry, hot and long summer. I really hope it will not be like this every year, but looks like science doesn't support it.
Tonga volcano 2022. Why aren't climate scientists talking more about that event that lofted huge amounts of IR-absorbing water vapor into the normally dry stratosphere where it is especially well-placed to absorb IR and affect the climate?
I just returned from Iceland. Had a great time hiking over glaciers that will be gone in 10 years. Real tragedy.
But is it a win or loss for life ? Forest lost, beetles won. Sometimes it feels that climate examples are very human egoistic, but phrased as an issue of life itself. Or more specificly, we are worried for our life to be exactly as it is now and not different,, like old people want the life to be as when they were young. Should we be looking forward to changes, rather than grasping at the past ?
@@dmitripogosian5084 To me, a selfish anthropocentric nordic woman who loves forest, it is my own personal tragedy and it matters to me the most. Of course, mentally I can empathize with the creatures who will gain something with the loss of the forest (but I'm pretty sure those who lose will be in much greater numbers), and I respect the dynamics of nature and its power over us. But emotionally I cannot accept it and will fight until I lose.
@@ChaviChoffChop That is understandable and valid position. But perhaps when we are talking about policies for the whole human population, it makes sense to point out that we often mean preservation of life very literally as it is now. For instance, it is probably far less important than in 100 years Manhattan will be underwater than some other things, and actually it is easier to relocate Manhattan than to change climate. So are we trying to protect not exactly the most relevant things ?
Thank you for sharing this. Your candor is a breath of fresh air.
Worst case scenarios are always difficult to articulate without seeming "alarmist," but the point and purpose of an alarm is not to create panic.
Fire alarms are a good example of this. They're there to get people's attention so they take appropriate action and do what? Avoid the worst case scenario.
Well it does take a bit of training in some form to know not to panic during a fire alarm, and even then, some people with, for example, sound sensitivity freak out through no fault of their own. And some live long enough without hearing an actual alarm so when it happens they forget how to react. I'd argue the same is the case for climate ”alarms”. The masses have not internalised enough of the knowledge to conjure a common-sense action plan, and those in government (who control the flow of information) are not helping because they are too focused on business or some artificial sense of power.
I do not even think she described the worst case scenario. To me, the worst case is, when we pass the first tipping point which will lead to the inevitable passing of all the others.
But we can't have a fire drill for climate change, and nobody will argue about how bad the consequences of a fire will be. Firefighters, in civilized countries at least, have nothing to gain by promoting fires!
Alarm's been going for almost 50 years, at some point it becomes too late to avoid the thing the alarm is warning about.
I am completely on board with the concept of climate change, I've been tracking the science since the late 1950s. I noticed some cooling in the 1960s (UK) and recall reading we were in an interglacial, with the possibility of a return to a further Ice Age.
Then came 1975 and 1976. Since then, all talk of reglaciation has diminished and first global warming, then climate change came into vogue. There is now no doubt about global warming, but I still have a problem with the United Nation's definition.
Paraphrasing, it refers to long-term climate changes predominantly caused by human activities.
This, of course, is politically motivated nonsense. Climate change is a phenomenon of geological time. Anthropogenic activity has only been demonstrated since the beginning of the industrial revolution. In no geological sense does this represent "long-term".
The weasel words of the UN are not helping credibility.
@robfut9954 - 2024-01-27
They aren’t disliking it because the topic. They’re doing it because politics have made climate change red team versus blue team and sides have been chosen. And the extreme ends are where the two teams live on every topic.
@jimmyquigley7561 - 2024-01-27
Mostly in the USA where a large part of the people seem to have gone mad or stupid.
@OlmanWillo - 2024-01-27
@@jimmyquigley7561I wouldn't say most. But the politics of my country have gone completely mad. You can't even speak solutions without it being called devisive
@natevanderw - 2024-01-27
Also Sabine politics and views and climate change have been trash in the past years
@impishboss - 2024-01-27
I’m more so surprised that those types of people watch this video in the first place
@johannuys7914 - 2024-01-27
@@OlmanWillo You are definitely not unique, that's for sure. But you are very visible regarding partisan politics. Quite bizarre.